Super Bowl Prediction: Slight Edge to Seahawks
If we could theoretically have each team play a notionally average opponent at a neutral site, each would win about 70 percent of the time. The hidden difference between the two teams is their résumés. Seattle has achieved its numbers along a tougher road than Denver…Accounting for strength of schedule, Seattle is the slightly stronger team and should be favored to win Super Bowl XLVIII with an edge of 52 percent to 48 percent.
Remember - this doesn't mean Burke's data predicts a close game, or that the Seahawks will win. Rather, it suggests that Seattle might have a tiny edge in a 100-game series, all else equal.