Week 15 N.F.L. Game Probabilities: Explaining Tebow
Perhaps opposing defenses are playing too soft with their fourth-quarter leads. Maybe Tebow plays too tight until the necessity and urgency of trailing in the fourth quarter allow him to play with abandon, a theory that is bolstered by fact that Tebow has played relatively poorly in his three overtimes this season. Is it by design? Perhaps the Broncos’ plan is to minimize errors and wait for opportunities for big plays while relying on their defense to keep the game close. Then in the fourth quarter, they roll the dice and become aggressive. My hunch is that it’s some combination of the above.