Burke: Stats also favor Broncos against Patriots

Week 12 N.F.L. Game Probabilities: Strange Math for Jets
www.nytimes.com

0.63 Denver at New England 0.37

Just like Vegas, Brian Burke's data says that against the Broncos, the Patriots are home dogs - a role they're completely unaccustomed to.

That said, New England is a far more balanced team than is Kansas City, and in terms of efficiency, a much better one.

Of course, Burke's efficiency-based probabilities don't account for the possibility that Wes Welker misses the game, nor that Alfonzo Dennard may be out for the Patriots.

Doug is IAOFM’s resident newsman and spelling czar. Follow him on Twitter @IAOFM

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