Week 7 N.F.L. Probabilities: Jets Over Patriots
0.48 Denver at Indianapolis 0.52
Anyone who saw the efficiency numbers from earlier in the week shouldn't be surprised by these probabilities.
A couple of things to keep in mind: one, Burke isn't "picking" these games - his model is. Two, the data also isn't suggesting Sunday's game will be close - rather, that if these two teams were to play 100 times in Indy, the Colts should win 52 times.
So, when PMFM drops 50 points on Irsay's boys and tells Jim to GFH, he won't have proven Burke's math wrong, per se.