Burke: Broncos heaviest favorites of Week 4

Week 4 Game Probabilities: Better Outlook for Giants

Both the Chiefs and the Giants have turnovers to thank and to blame for their records through Week 3. The Chiefs haven’t turned the ball over once this season. They haven’t even fumbled, much less lost a fumble. On defense, the Chiefs have intercepted 3.5 percent of opponent pass attempts, significantly higher than the league average of 2.5 percent.

More interesting than the probabilities (I think) is Burke's discussion of turnover rates and predictability. From Burke's perspective, the Chiefs are unlikely to maintain their string of giveaway-free football, although it must be noted that Alex Smith has been very good about protecting the ball (relative to both interceptions and fumbles) for the past few years.

Doug is IAOFM’s resident newsman and spelling czar. Follow him on Twitter @IAOFM