The improbability of Tim Tebow's streak
Multiplying out the Broncos’ lowest chances in each game of the win streak, Denver’s probability to win all six games was 0.0007 percent, approximately one in 137,000. The odds are better that a flipped coin comes up heads 17 consecutive times.
That microscopic number doesn’t even consider Denver’s most unlikely comeback, which came in Tebow’s first start of the season. With 5:50 remaining in Miami, the Dolphins led 15-0 and had 1st-and-10 from their own 33-yard line. At this point, the Broncos’ win probability was only 1.9 percent.
I flipped a coin once and it landed on heads twenty times in a row. Of course, it was a double-sided coin.
Keep trying, math geeks. It gets funnier each week--especially when you apply the point of "lowest" probability each time for full effect.