Postseason Projections: Wild Card Round
www.advancednflstats.com
It seems even three consecutive losses is not enough to put a damper on Tebow-mania. Denver’s odds of winning the Super Bowl are variously listed as anywhere from 50/1 to 120/1, but, regardless, the Broncos are still over-valued, with the model estimating their true probability of a Super Bowl win to be less than one in eight hundred.
Hey, a 19% chance of beating the Steelers? Not too shabby!