A lesson on how to apply selection bias

LOVIE: WE KNOW WHAT'S AT STAKE
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This will be difficult. Whether because of altitude or whatever, the Broncos have the NFL’s best record at home (218-84) since 1975. They already have lost to Oakland, San Diego and Detroit at home this year.

The Broncos do indeed have the best home record since 1975.  Wait, 1975? 

Often in our quest to build a gigantic sample size, we end up creating a worse problem--we ignore the obvious, like new stadium construction, regime and player changes, and you know, recent five and ten year trends, which would match current rosters.

But it's one hell of a statistic.  Even the wine-and-cheese crowd that currently inhabits SAF can get behind it.   

I’m glad we had this talk.  Now, vaya con Dios, Brah.

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2014 Offseason

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