The Stats That Don’t Suck (as Bad) - Week 16: Lloyd v. Marshall

It's been several weeks since we brought you our weekly summary of Broncos-related stats.  

There was a good reason--week after week there was nothing novel about the Broncos sucking wind.  The numbers were terrible, and the only question that remained after Week 8 was whether or not the team would rank last in each and every defensive category.  Snipers were beginning to assemble on rooftops.

Since the season is coming to an end, we thought it high time to at least give our readers what they deserve:  more crappy Broncos stats.

On the bright side, it will be a 20-minute distraction from your daily ritual of wondering who the Broncos will draft.

Broncos' Offense Through Week 16

Team Yards / Game Yards / Play Rushing Yards / Game Rushing Yards / Play Passing Yards / Game Passing Yards / Play Interception Rate Sacks / Pass Attempt
DEN 349.7 5.52 93.2 3.79 256.5 7.07 1.84% 6.80%
NFL 337.6 5.35 114.5 4.21 223 6.61 2.96% 6.45%
Differences 12.1 0.17 -21.3 -0.42 33.5 0.46 -1.12% 0.35%
Rank 12 11 28 26 7 8 5 18
Team First Downs / Game Punt Return Avg Kickoff Return Avg 3rd Down Pct 4th Down Pct Red Zone Pct Goal to Go% Points / Game
DEN 19.4 10.4 22.8 32.12% 31.25% 53.06% 85.00% 21.1
NFL 19 9.6 22.5 38.36% 50.22% 52.71% 70.64% 22.3
Differences 0.4 0.8 0.3 -6.24% -18.97% 0.35% 14.36% -1.2
Rank 15 13 15 29 30 13 1 21

What do these stats tell us?  I'll leave you to interpret what you can from them.  I am pleasantly surprised to find that the Broncos rank so highly in goal-to-go situations.  I was also glad to see that Eric Decker as a kickoff returner has yielded some fruit.

After looking at the Broncos' 3rd-down percentage, you may wonder who could possibly be worse on 3rd downs than Denver.  Only Carolina (30th), Washington (31st), and Arizona (32nd) are worse.  Coincidentally, all of these teams are looking for a long-term answer at quarterback.

Broncos' Defense Through Week 16

Team Yards / Game Yards / Play Rushing Yards / Game Rushing Yards / Play Passing Yards / Game Passing Yards / Play Interception Rate Sacks / Pass Attempt
DEN 387.1 5.91 153.9 4.62 233.1 7.52 1.94% 3.87%
NFL 337.6 5.35 114.5 4.21 223 6.61 2.96% 6.45%
Differences 49.5 0.56 39.4 0.41 10.1 0.91 -1.02% -2.58%
Rank 31 28 31 28 25 30 31 32
Team First Downs / Game Punt Return Avg Kickoff Return Avg 3rd Down Pct 4th Down Pct Red Zone Pct Goal to Go% Points / Game
DEN 20.9 9.7 24.2 38.22% 60.00% 63.27% 75.00% 29.2
NFL 19 9.6 22.5 38.36% 50.22% 52.71% 70.64% 22.3
Differences 1.9 0.1 1.7 -0.14% 9.78% 10.56% 4.36% 6.9
Rank 27 20 25 16 23 28 19 32

All of these stats are brutish, I'd say.  The Broncos rank next to last in interception rate and sacks per pass attempt.  These two stats alone tell you everything you need to know about the Broncos' season.

Turnovers, Penalties, & Field Position

Team Penalty Yards/Game Opponent's Penalty Yards/Game Turnover Margin Average Starting Field Position Opponent's Avg. Starting Field Position
DEN 59.9 59.3 -8 27.53 32.01
NFL (Median) 49.5 49.5 0 (AVG) 30.04 30.04
Differences -10.4 -9.8 -8 2.51 -1.97
Rank 26 6 27 30 27

As we've written previously, penalties usually have a way of balancing out.  It's too bad one can't say the same about turnovers and field position, two stats in which the Broncos have been poor.

A Few Non-Tradition Stats That Make You Smile Like Brandon Marshall's Agent 

Here is a tale of two Brandons, courtesy of old friend Brian Burke at Advanced NFL Stats:

Player G Expected Points/Play Success Rate Targets % Targeted Yards Pert Target Catch Rate % Deep
Brandon Lloyd 15 0.49 53.6 139 25.6 9.9 51.8 44.6
Brandon Marshall 13

0.08

51.4 134 26 6.8 60.4 26.1

And you thought there weren't any stats to be happy about.  Lloyd leads Marshall in almost every meaningful rate stat except catch rate; who cares when your expected value per play is almost a half point.

Looks like the Dolphins traded for the wrong Brandon.  That's fine with the Broncos.  They will keep their Brandon and the draft picks.

Now, just who was it that fleeced the Dolphins? Josh McDaniels or Brian Xanders?  Inquiring minds want to know.

I’m glad we had this talk.  Now, vaya con Dios, Brah.

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