The Jesus, The Generator and the Experts - Week 3

This week I continue my quest to answer the one question that has eluded mankind for decades (or a least two weeks):

Are the NFL Experts smarter than a random number generator (RNG)?

To make things even more lively , I included my cat, Jesus Quintana, in on the picks, along with Doug Lee and myself (Doc Bear is too smart for this).  The RNG is simply armed with the notion that, 57% of the time, the home team is a winner in the NFL.  Quintana picks between two quarters as I drop them to the floor.  Doug Lee uses his sharp mind.

I use Kahlua and a proprietary mathematical formula.  If that doesn’t work, I just imagine what team Doc Bear would pick.

So how has the experiment gone after two weeks?

EXPERTWinsTotal PercentageEXPERTWinsTotalPercentage
Jason Cole233271.88%Doug Lee193259.38%
Accuscore213265.63%Les Carpenter193259.38%
ESPN Pigskin Pick ‘Em203262.50%Merril Hoge193259.38%
Mark Schlereth203262.50%Pete Prisco183256.25%
Peter King203262.50%Adam Schefter173253.13%
RNG203262.50%Michael Silver173253.13%
TJ “The Dude” Johnson203262.50%Mike Golic163250.00%
Yahoo Users203262.50%Eric Allen153246.88%
Ron Jaworski182962.07%Jesus Quintana143243.75%
Chris Mortensen193259.38%Raiders Fans1323.13%

Jason Cole with Yahoo Sports has impressed after two weeks.  But, just like the Kansas City Chiefs, a quick start does not an expert make.  Accuscore’s Monte Carlo simulator continues to roll, while Doug Lee and I are right there with the leaders.  For those fans of a wisdom-of-crowds approach, you’re probably not disappointed either as all Yahoo and ESPN users are putting up a good fight.

What can I say about Quintana?  At least he’s still whipping all Raiders fans.  In his desire to appear both novel and creative, I personally think he’s been reaching.  But he’s hearing none of it, and continues to pursue an unorthodox strategy.

I’m telling you, though, this week he’s been hell to live with.

Here’s how we see Week 3 shaping up:


WEEK 3 Random Number GeneratorJesus QuintanaTJ “The Dude” JohnsonDoug Lee

Quintana has three upset specials for you, although he doesn’t promote gambling. He likes Denver over Indy, Chicago over Green Bay, and Buffalo over New England.  I think all three picks smell of desperation, but he keeps purring on and on about Kyle Orton, Jay Cutler, and Jim Kelly. 

I don’t have the heart to tell him that Kelly is retired.

Please don’t hate Doug and I for picking against the Broncos.  We are doing it for a good reason.  A reverse jinx.  If you simply say that the Broncos will lose, then, of course, due to forces beyond our control (like the “Royal Treatment”), they will win.

So Doug and I are actually taking one for the team here. 

You can thank us Sunday night, Broncos fans!

I’m glad we had this talk.  Now, vaya con Dios, Brah.

Agree, disagree, just like us on Facebook and follow us on Twitter so I can quit my day job.

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