The Jesus, The Generator and the Experts - Week 13

This week, the Naga Viper overtook the Ghost Chili as the world's hottest hot pepper.

The Viper is so hot it can strip paint.  

Quick, slip one into Peter King's next meal.

It might strip down his columns to a readable word count.

As we usually do, we ask our RNG to makes its picks for the week’s NFL games.  We then compare these picks to the so-called experts.  To make things even more lively, I include my cat, Jesus Quintana, in on the picks, along with Doug Lee and myself (Doc Bear is too smart for this).  The RNG is simply armed with the notion that 57% of the time, the home team is a winner in the NFL.  Quintana picks between two quarters as I drop them to the floor.  Doug Lee uses his vast mental resources.

I use Kahlua and a proprietary mathematical formula. If that doesn’t work,  I eat a Naga Viper like this dumbass until the picks come to me.  

So let's see how things stand after Week 12.

EXPERT Wins Total Percentage Rank
Jason Cole 117 176 66.48% 1
Ron Jaworski 107 163 65.64% 2
Accuscore 113 176 64.20% 3
Chris Mortensen 109 176 61.93% 4
ESPN Pigskin Pick 'Em 109 176 61.93% 4
Mike Golic 109 176 61.93% 4
TJ "The Dude" Johnson 108 176 61.36% 7
Mark Schlereth 108 176 61.36% 7
Yahoo Users 108 176 61.36% 7
Michael Silver 106 176 60.23% 10
Peter King 105 176 59.66% 11
Les Carpenter 104 176 59.09% 12
Merril Hoge 103 176 58.52% 13
RNG 102 176 57.95% 14
Doug Lee 101 176 57.39% 15
Pete Prisco 101 176 57.39% 15
Eric Allen 96 176 54.55% 17
Adam Schefter 95 176 53.98% 18
Jesus Quintana 86 176 48.86% 19
Raiders Fans 5 176 2.84% 20

With 5 weeks to go, it appears as if uber-nerd Jason Cole is running away with this thing.  I'd direct my hatred towards him, but Peter King is too easy of a target. 

The RNG correctly picked 14 of the games last week and is making a bit of a surge lately, while Doug Lee and I continue in our same holding pattern.

Quintana never recovered from his early season mistakes.  But he can take solace in the fact that Raiders fans exist.

It's also worth pointing out that the concept of the wisdom of crowds is applying quite nicely now.  If you're a believer in the idea that crowds generally do a better job than experts, you've got some interesting data here.   

Let's take a look at the picks for Week 13:

WEEK 13   Random Number Generator Jesus Quintana TJ "The Dude" Johnson Doug Lee
VISTOR HOME Pick Pick Team Team
HOU PHI PHI PHI PHI PHI
NO CIN CIN NO NO NO
CHI DET CHI DET CHI CHI
SF GB GB SF GB GB
JAX TEN TEN TEN TEN JAX
DEN KC KC KC KC KC
CLE MIA CLE MIA MIA MIA
BUF MIN MIN BUF BUF MIN
WAS NYG NYG NYG NYG NYG
OAK SD OAK OAK SD SD
DAL IND IND IND IND IND
STL ARI ARI STL STL STL
CAR SEA SEA SEA SEA SEA
ATL TB TB ATL ATL ATL
PIT BAL PIT BAL BAL BAL
NYJ NE NE NE NE NE

Quintana's Upset Specials

1) Detroit over Chicago.  Quintana's hatred for Jay Cutler runs deep; Suh runs over Cutler.

2) San Francisco over Green Bay.  Singletary straps it on at halftime and knocks Aaron Rodgers the hell out.

3) Buffalo over Minnesota.  Quintana wants a higher draft pick for the Broncos, so it's a must win for the Bills.

4) Oakland over San Diego.   WTF?

Peter King Actually Wrote This

I don't care if Colt McCoy has to play in one of those walking boots. Start him, Eric Mangini. He's the future.

PK, that's exactly why you shouldn't play him, but screw it.  Throw him out there so the future can injure himself even more.

I’m glad we had this talk.  Now, vaya con Dios, Brah.

Agree, disagree, just like us on Facebook and follow us on Twitter so I can quit my day job.

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