Good Morning, Broncos fans! It's cited anywhere and everywhere that the Broncos offense racked up 481 points in 2012, and that this figure was good enough to rank them as the #2 scoring offense in the league.
Of course, we all know that the team scored in many ways last year, including five pick-sixes, one fumble return, one punt return, one kick return, and two safeties.
By higher math, this is 60 points contributed by the defense and special teams, meaning the offense was actually responsible for 421 points.
This drops Denver behind New Orleans, who scored 461 points overall, but just five touchdowns on defense and special teams, leaving 426 points for its offense.
Indeed, the Saints scored 53 offensive touchdowns to Denver's 49, each team punched in one two-point conversion, and the Broncos had 26 field goals to the Saints' 18.
This is all a long way of saying that it's annoyingly inaccurate (at least to this OCD writer) to constantly see the Denver offense credited as being the second-most prolific scoring unit in 2012. It wasn't.
If you're interested in the more advanced methods for ranking offenses (of course you are), here are a few tidbits from our good friend Chase Stuart of Football Perspective:
- Obviously Burke's and PFR's EPA models go well beyond points scored and points allowed, so they take these things into account. PFR's EPA has Denver's offense 6th in EPA.
- FO and PFR have points per drive data. PFR has Denver at 2.2, which puts them in a five team group that is ranked 4th through 8th (I need to email them and take the PPD data to two digits)
- It's certainly easy to track. "Fumble" TDs are kind of weird - you occasionally have them on offense (you might recall the Jeff Saturday TD in the AFCCG - that's the one that always comes to mind). But if you don't care much about that, and just group together all FR/INT/PR/KR/OTHER TDs.....The Bears led the NFL with 10. The '98 Seahawks own the career record with 13. The highest Denver mark is 10, by the '76 and '97 editions.
Ronnie Hillman suggests his performance in the playoff loss to Baltimore should prove he can be an every-down back. While I wouldn't quite go that far, I think it's far too early to declare that Hillman is only a third-down back, even if Denver's drafting of Montee Ball should tell us a lot. It's still very early in Ronnie's career (and life - he's only 21!), and it's not impossible for a smaller back to carry a substantial load, as I was just discussing with my good friend Warrick Dunn.
Peyton Manning was back in Tennessee yesterday for his annual golf classic, and to visit with the current Volunteers players; he even gives their QBs his mobile number so they can ask him questions.
Charges of criminally negligent homicide have been recommended against the truck driver responsible for the death of Eric Studesville's parents, but will not be formally made unless the prosecutor and investigator determine the evidence suffices.
Andrew Mason looks all the way ahead to the season opener.
John Fox and Pat Bowlen won closest to the hole honors at the team's golf outing last month, while Kevin Vickerson had one of the longest drives.
Here's another of what will surely be an overwhelming pile of FF outlooks on Montee Ball, this time from CHFF.
Green Bay expectedly released former starting LB Desmond Bishop, who will visit with Minnesota and has ties to the GMs of the Chiefs and Raiders; Neil Hornsby thinks the Vikings are a better fit for Bishop than are the Chiefs.
Three assholes were deservedly fired from their Atlanta radio gigs after they inexplicably decided to spend their Monday morning making fun of the remarkable Steve Gleason, the ALS-stricken former Saint who wrote yesterday's MMQB column. Of course, we all know that when one turns to talk radio, one tends to get garbage.
Chad Johnson was released from jail after he apologized for his courtroom butt slap. Obviously, seven days in the clink is a ridiculous price to pay for such an offense, but since he wasn't going to serve any time for abusing his then-wife, he probably got off too easy in the end.
The Oakland Coliseum was overrun by shit on Sunday, which is another way of saying that it was a typical Sunday at the Coliseum.
Jason Fitzgerald starts to consider what sort of contract extension Colin Kaepernick will command in San Francisco.
Presumably in honor of all the attention given the Pats' new third-string QB, Mike Tanier lists his favorite third-stringers at each position, including current Denver players Quentin Jammer and Stewart Bradley, and former Broncos Eddie Royal, Brodrick Bunkley, Niko Koutouvides, and Jim Leonhard.
Former NFLer Wade Davis speaks with Shutdown Corner about all that's happened in the year since he came out as gay, offering advice on how young gay athletes can come out, and how their straight friends can best support them.
Stuart provides a fascinating discussion of Yards per Attempt, its potential shortcomings (is it scheme neutral?), and its relationship with its offspring (NY/A, ANY/A).
At the other end of the spectrum, Joe Fortenbaugh revisits Mike Lombardi's (and Bill Parcells's?) completely arbitrary landmark of 50 rush attempts and completions in a game and its supposed link to winning football games. This is statistical analysis at its very worst, in which people use concepts that likely wouldn't pass muster in a high school math class. In other words, this is the kind of work that tends be done by Kerry Byrne.