Look for Dumervil to stick around at current pay Lard

Good Morning, Broncos fans! One of our readers emailed us a fine question yesterday about Denver's offseason strategy as it pertains to Elvis Dumervil. Writes Isaac:

Should the Broncos actively look to move Elvis Dumervil this offseason? Don't get me wrong - I love Elvis. I love having him on this team. However, I do not feel that he is currently worth the amount he is getting paid. I am open to this line of thought based on two factors:

1) His production has not improved to where we hoped it would after his string of injuries and his play does not merit the salary he is due to make.

2) The Broncos need all the help they can get money wise if we are going to keep this team contending for a championship for the next 2-3 seasons.

I do believe we have a servicable replacement already waiting in Robert Ayers, and more help can be brought in via draft/free agency. If we can move his salary AND get draft picks or a good player in return, it is a win/win for the Broncos. Is it time for the Broncos to pursue this move? Should they ask him to re-structure?

This is actually an issue Ted and I had discussed a bit last week. I'm sure Ted will have more to say about it later on, but for now, I'll summarize his opinion as being that Elvis is defending the run better than he ever has.

I agree with Isaac to an extent that Elvis didn't quite play up to his $14M salary last year, but I thought he was very good, and that his run defense has continued to improve. I know every fan of every team thinks their squad gets a raw deal from the officials, but if one thing from that department stood out to me in 2012, it was how rarely Elvis drew offensive holding penalties, despite obvious infractions. All it takes is one call early in the game to kill a drive and discourage a left tackle from grabbing Doom's jersey all day long.

Even with all those potential missed holding penalties, Elvis does a great job of opening things up for Von Miller, who would have had much many fewer than the 93 pressures he did, were it not for Dumervil's presence.

Turning to the rest of his contract, Dumervil's $12M salary for 2013 is guaranteed, concluding the guaranteed portion of the six-year deal he signed before the 2010 season.

But his salary drops to $10M in 2014, and $8.2M in 2015, with none of that money guaranteed.

Because his 2013 salary is fully guaranteed, Elvis has no motivation to renegotiate, unless the team decides gives him more guaranteed money. It's hard to envision that happening.

The team would have to be absolutely sure it could do well to replace Dumervil if they were to trade him, and good luck finding a team that wants to both pick up a $12M guaranteed salary and pay handsomely in draft choices.

Additionally, Doom is still relatively young, having just turned 29 a few weeks ago, and the gradual drop in Elvis's salary will make the deal more palatable for the team going forward.

I think he'll be staying put and at the same salary.

Thanks for the question, Isaac, and we'll surely be returning to this topic again in the months ahead.

Broncos

TE Joel Dreessen says the leadup to the SB was painful to follow, but that he still watched the game on Sunday.

Uh oh, here we go - John Clayton says the Broncos will have the easiest schedule in the league in 2013, and that's just as dumb as last year's pronouncements that Denver faced the toughest slate in the history of sport.

Matt Waldman discusses the silliness of evaluating quarterbacks by their W/L records through the prism of Vince Young and Matt Leinart being taken ahead of Jay Cutler in 2006.

Christmas Ape blames Rahim Moore for the entire country's past few weeks of Ray Lewis-inflicted pain.

Over at the official site, a review of the second quarter of Denver's 2012 season.

News

While most of the media prefers to focus on Ray Lewis and Joe Flacco, perhaps the best story of the Ravens' victory was that Jacoby Jones made its two biggest plays in his hometown. Meanwhile, Jones's KR touchdown is expected to cost one Maryland furniture store $600K.

Incredibly, Ravens safety Bernard Pollard played much of the season with six broken ribs; some genius in the Baltimore organization misplaced the Lombardi Trophy on Sunday night.

WR Titus Young has been so disruptive to the Detroit locker room that the Lions waived him just two years after drafting him 44th overall out of Boise State. In case you're not sure what's wrong with the kid, he apparently says he's as good as Calvin Johnson - so there's that.

The Rams interviewed former Bills and Bears head coach Dick Jauron about running their defense.

Strangely, the last four opponents for Philly's home openers have gone on to win the Super Bowl. Most national writers would call this either a stat or a factoid, but it's of course neither, and instead qualifies as trivia. Meanwhile, the Steelers and Patriots are considered the likeliest candidates to visit the Ravens to kick off the 2013 season.

Analysis

Brian Burke says the Niners' biggest tactical errors were wasting their timeouts and not going for it on 4th-and-2 after the third quarter running-into-the-kicker call, and he thinks they should have gone for two points earlier than they ultimately did.

Chase Stuart dissects the Harbaughs' decisions and finds that John clearly outcoached Jim, but he doesn't necessarily think that was the difference in the game.

Matt Bowen doesn't think the LOLJets should trade Darrelle Revis; Mike Garafolo ranks the offseason's biggest stories; Don Banks ponders the near-term futures of the Ravens and Niners.

Good luck finding anyone who thinks CBS's coverage of the Super Bowl was anything less than sucktastic; Awful Announcing and Drew Magary certainly don't.

The commercials didn't fare much better, according to AA and the NY Times.

At least Christmas Ape can find solace in Niners schadenfreude, and in dismantling PK's MMQB.

Doug is IAOFM’s resident newsman and spelling czar. Follow him on Twitter @IAOFM

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