Good Morning, Broncos fans! One of our readers emailed us a fine question yesterday about Denver's offseason strategy as it pertains to Elvis Dumervil. Writes Isaac:
Should the Broncos actively look to move Elvis Dumervil this offseason? Don't get me wrong - I love Elvis. I love having him on this team. However, I do not feel that he is currently worth the amount he is getting paid. I am open to this line of thought based on two factors:
1) His production has not improved to where we hoped it would after his string of injuries and his play does not merit the salary he is due to make.
2) The Broncos need all the help they can get money wise if we are going to keep this team contending for a championship for the next 2-3 seasons.
I do believe we have a servicable replacement already waiting in Robert Ayers, and more help can be brought in via draft/free agency. If we can move his salary AND get draft picks or a good player in return, it is a win/win for the Broncos. Is it time for the Broncos to pursue this move? Should they ask him to re-structure?
This is actually an issue Ted and I had discussed a bit last week. I'm sure Ted will have more to say about it later on, but for now, I'll summarize his opinion as being that Elvis is defending the run better than he ever has.
I agree with Isaac to an extent that Elvis didn't quite play up to his $14M salary last year, but I thought he was very good, and that his run defense has continued to improve. I know every fan of every team thinks their squad gets a raw deal from the officials, but if one thing from that department stood out to me in 2012, it was how rarely Elvis drew offensive holding penalties, despite obvious infractions. All it takes is one call early in the game to kill a drive and discourage a left tackle from grabbing Doom's jersey all day long.
Even with all those potential missed holding penalties, Elvis does a great job of opening things up for Von Miller, who would have had
much many fewer than the 93 pressures he did, were it not for Dumervil's presence.
Turning to the rest of his contract, Dumervil's $12M salary for 2013 is guaranteed, concluding the guaranteed portion of the six-year deal he signed before the 2010 season.
But his salary drops to $10M in 2014, and $8.2M in 2015, with none of that money guaranteed.
Because his 2013 salary is fully guaranteed, Elvis has no motivation to renegotiate, unless the team decides gives him more guaranteed money. It's hard to envision that happening.
The team would have to be absolutely sure it could do well to replace Dumervil if they were to trade him, and good luck finding a team that wants to both pick up a $12M guaranteed salary and pay handsomely in draft choices.
Additionally, Doom is still relatively young, having just turned 29 a few weeks ago, and the gradual drop in Elvis's salary will make the deal more palatable for the team going forward.
I think he'll be staying put and at the same salary.
Thanks for the question, Isaac, and we'll surely be returning to this topic again in the months ahead.
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