With ten minutes remaining before the first game today, here are the picks.
Sorry it took so long to get these out.
I was busy watching college football into the wee hours of the night.
Today's games feature a lot of big favorites. That means we should see a lot of blowouts, right?
I highly doubt it.
As a reminder, the IAOFM staff are Ted Bartlett, TJ Johnson, Doug Lee, and David Singer. Of the four, TJ uses his own mathematical formula he developed in the Orient for predicting winners. Lee, Bartlett and Singer use their vast brain power. Things are getting interesting.
The so-called experts are Peter King, Mike Silver, Jason Cole and Merril Hoge--all of them noted critics of Tim Tebow. The experts continue to hold their own.
Finally, there's the Monte Carlo simulator from Accuscore, the crowd-based Pick 'Em (users' picks at ESPN), and Baxter McLove, our resident sportscaster with a penchant for the ladies and liquor. He'd be the most interesting man in the world, but only if he could find the time.
Mike Silver, if you stop by my house tomorrow night, I've got a nice candy apple for you.
If you want to wager some money straight up with your buddies (or you're just a degenerate), here's what you're looking at with respect to probabilities this week, using Sagarin's Rating System and my own Excel spreadsheets:
|AWAY||HOME||FAVORITE||SPREAD||PROBABILITY OF WINNING|
There were several teams this week that looked to be locks, including San Francisco,Houston, New Orleans, and Baltimore. The teams with the slimmest of margins were the Cowboys and Chargers.
Baxter McLove's Stone-Cold-Drunk Locks
McLove continue to only pick games in which a team is favored by three points or less.
1. New England over Pittsburgh "It's almost Halloween and the Steelers are without James Harrison. That's not scary."
2. Dallas over Philadelphia. "Reid = Stache."
3. San Diego over Kansas City. "Todd Haley = Facial Hair of Horror."