Quick, what's more likely? Me winning a round of picks or Norv Turner keeping his job?
I'd say I've got better odds. Norv has a quarterback who resides inside his own dome. At least I tied for first this week.
Another bit of good news: the Broncos are favored against the Vikings today. The numbers say they've got almost a 53% chance of skull busting the Norsemen.
Enjoy the games, everyone.
As a reminder, the IAOFM staff are the incomparable Ted Bartlett, the idiotic TJ Johnson, the impertinent Doug Lee, and the ingenious David Singer. Of the four, TJ uses his own mathematical formula he developed while contemplating the acting skills of Hayden Christensen. Lee, Bartlett and Singer use the minds of mortals.
The so-called experts are Peter King, Mike Silver, Jason Cole and Merril Hoge--all of them noted critics of Tim Tebow.
Finally, there's the Monte Carlo simulator from Accuscore, the crowd-based Pick 'Em (users' picks at ESPN), and Baxter McLove, our resident sportscaster with a penchant for the ladies and liquor. He'd be the most interesting man in the world, if he wasn't rumbling, bumbling, and stumbling drunk.
|WEEK 12||Ted||TJ||Doug||David||Baxter||King||Silver||Cole||Hoge||Accuscore||Pick 'Em|
You may tell yourself this
is not my beautiful house, this is not my beautiful wife can't go on, that Mike Silver simply can't be leading the mental genius that is the IAOFM staff.
It's true, my friends. Silver is still up by two games, even against the Monte Carlo simulator, which I've found to be damn near impossible for mortal man to conquer.
Stay tuned. With just a handful of games left, things should get interesting--at least to the five people that read these words every week (me, my dog, my cat, my sister, and my mom; daddy never loved me).
|AWAY TEAM||HOME TEAM||Ted||TJ||Doug||David||Baxter||King||Silver||Cole||Hoge||Accuscore||Pick 'Em|
only Ted and Baxter could again muster the decency almost everyone took the Broncos. A sign of the times? I just call it "Broncopocalypse" Say that five times in a row while standing in the dark facing a mirror and see what happens.
If you want to wager some money straight up with your buddies (or you're just a degenerate), here's what you're looking at with respect to probabilities this week, using Sagarin's Rating System and my own Excel spreadsheets:
|AWAY||HOME||Points - Away||Points - Home||Favorite||Spread||Probability|
Baxter McLove's Stone-Cold-Drunk Locks
McLove continues to only pick games in which a team is favored by three points or less.
1. Buffalo over Tennessee - "Someone stole Fitzpatrick's gold. Today he takes it back."
2. Minnesota over Denver - "I made this pick before Adrian Peterson was out and TJ won't let me change it back. Loser."
3. Jacksonville over San Diego - "Ted Turner is a better clock manager than Norv."