Fat Pickins (and Probability) - Week 11

I'll disperse with the trivialities today and just say that Doug Lee is within one game of Mike Silver.

Will I see an elephant fly?

No way.  Doug spends a grand total of three minutes per week picking these games.  If only my brain worked so fast.

You may not like his take on Tebow, but all he does is win (pick 'em) games.

I apologize in advance for not getting to the probability and Baxter's locks.  There are several reasons for this.  Some could be true.  First, I can't get in touch with Baxter this morning.  When I left him last night he was dancing on top of a table and mumbling something about goldfish.  Second, I really wanted to bask in the glory of Doug Lee.  Third, now that the Broncos' game is over for the week, I don't care so much about the probabilities of the other games.  And finally, I woke up about thirty minutes ago and didn't have time.

Enjoy the games today, everyone.

The Results

As a reminder, the IAOFM staff are the incomparable Ted Bartlett, the idiotic TJ Johnson, the impertinent Doug Lee, and the ingenious David Singer.  Of the four, TJ uses his own mathematical formula he developed while studying Zen and the Art of Mental Masturbation.  Lee, Bartlett and Singer use the minds of mortals.

The so-called experts are Peter King, Mike Silver, Jason Cole and Merril Hoge--all of them noted critics of Tim Tebow.

Finally, there's the Monte Carlo simulator from Accuscore, the crowd-based Pick 'Em (users' picks at ESPN), and Baxter McLove, our resident sportscaster with a penchant for the ladies and liquor.  He'd be the most interesting man in the world, if he wasn't drunk.

  Ted TJ Doug David Baxter King Silver Cole Hoge Accuscore Pick 'Em
Week 10 9 8 10 5 6 8 6 7 7 9 10
Games 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16
Success % 56.52 50.00 62.50 31.25 37.50 50.00 37.50 43.75 43.72 56.25 62.50
                       
Overall 88 92 101 92 89 95 102 89 92 101 99
Games 145 145 145 145 145 145 145 145 145 145 145
Success % 60.69 63.45 69.66 63.45 61.38 65.52 70.34 61.38 63.45 69.66 68.28

Mike Silver, you better check yourself, before, well, you know...

The Picks

AWAY HOME Ted TJ Doug David Baxter King Silver Cole Hoge Accuscore Pick 'Em
NYJ DEN DEN NYJ NYJ NYJ DEN NYJ NYJ NYJ NYJ NYJ NYJ
CAR DET DET DET DET DET DET DET DET DET DET DET DET
TB GB GB GB GB GB GB GB GB GB GB GB GB
OAK MIN OAK MIN OAK OAK MIN OAK OAK OAK OAK OAK OAK
CIN BAL CIN BAL BAL BAL BAL BAL BAL BAL BAL BAL BAL
JAX CLE CLE JAX CLE CLE CLE CLE CLE CLE CLE CLE CLE
DAL WAS DAL DAL DAL DAL WAS DAL DAL DAL DAL DAL DAL
BUF MIA BUF MIA BUF BUF BUF BUF BUF BUF BUF BUF BUF
TEN ATL ATL ATL ATL ATL ATL ATL ATL ATL ATL ATL ATL
SEA STL SEA STL STL STL STL SEA SEA STL STL SEA STL
ARI SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF
SD CHI CHI CHI CHI CHI SD CHI CHI CHI CHI CHI CHI
PHI NYG NYG NYG NYG NYG PHI NYG NYG NYG NYG NYG NYG
KC NE NE NE NE NE NE NE PHI PHI NE NE NE

This week only Ted and Baxter could again muster the courage to take Tebow and the Broncos.

I’m glad we had this talk.  Now, vaya con Dios, Brah.

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