2013 IAOFM Rational Actor Mock Draft - Round 1

# Team Player Pos School
1 Kansas City Star Lotulelei DT Utah
Lotulelei is a dominant player up front, and the Chiefs really lack anybody like that. The smart play is to keep Branden Albert and work on the D-line.
2 Jacksonville Jarvis Jones OLB Georgia
Jones is the best football player in this draft, and I would have had him first overall, if it weren't for KC's strength at OLB. Forget the slow 40 and the stenosis; this is a Terrell Suggs type of player.
3 Oakland Barkevious Mingo OLB LSU
I'm wary of Mingo's lack of sack production at LSU, but you can see the talent jump off the film. The Raiders need pass rush more than anything right now. It would help the whole defense perform better.
4 Philadelphia Dion Jordan OLB Oregon
Jordan is athletic, and he's a true OLB. I don't necessarily think he's an elite pass rusher, but I think he'll be fine in that role. I do think he'll be good against the run, and in coverage, though. I view him as a slightly more talented Chandler Jones, and I'm factoring in Chip Kelly's familiarity with him, in slotting him here.
5 Detroit Eric Fisher OT Central Michigan
The Lions absolutely need to shore up their pass protection, particularly with the retirement of Jeff Backus. Fisher is a better athlete than Joeckel, and the Lions tend to like local guys.
6 Cleveland Sharrif Floyd DT Florida
The Browns need players who can win up front on the defensive line, and Floyd would make a nice partner for Phil Taylor. This pick would make them a threat not to finish in the AFC North cellar next season, if Floyd plays like he's capable of playing.
7 Arizona Lane Johnson OT Oklahoma
The Cardinals have been focusing on Johnson, because everybody in the media said Joeckel would be gone. Now that they're both here, I think they still take Johnson, who is a superior athlete.
8 Buffalo Luke Joeckel OT Texas A&M
The Bills take Joeckel, and it allows them to move Cordy Glenn to either LG or RT, which is the classic case of improving at two positions with one pick.
9 New York Jets Ezekiel Ansah DE BYU
I doubt that this is who Rex Ryan would want, having gotten Quinton Coples last year, but the GM has to do what's best for the long-term. Ansah is a risk, but you can clearly see the talent.
10 Tennessee Jonathan Cooper OG North Carolina
Cooper reminds me of Randall McDaniel, and with the zone running that the Titans do, he's a perfect fit. Their QB is suspect, but by building up their OL, they'll maximize their chances to win with the run game.
11 Pittsburgh Dee Milliner CB Alabama
Everybody is giving the Steelers an OLB, but I think they trust Jason Worilds. CB is their biggest need area on defense, and I think trading up for Milliner here represents good value.
12 Miami Xavier Rhodes CB Florida State
Rhodes is Miami's type of guy, with all the press-man they like to play. They have five picks in the first three rounds, so they can really fill some needs.
13 New York Jets Desmond Trufant CB Washington
The Jets need to replace Darrelle Revis, unless you think that Kyle Wilson is the answer. Since I don't, I'll give them Trufant, who isn't Revis, but also doesn't cost $16 million per year.
14 Carolina Sylvester Williams DT North Carolina
The Panthers could go in a number of directions, but really, their biggest issue is that they're soft up the middle on defense. Williams is just half a notch below Lotulelei and Floyd, and he's an excellent penetrator.
15 New Orleans Sheldon Richardson DT Missouri
The Saints are pretty soft in the middle of their defense, and they could use some interior pass rush. Rob Ryan could use Richardson as a DE who can penetrate in his odd-front scheme.
16 St. Louis D.J. Fluker OT Alabama
I don't think that Rodger Saffold is a RT, and it's clear he doesn't want to play there. Fluker can start from Day 1, and allow the Rams to trade Saffold to the Chargers for the 76th pick in the draft.
17 San Diego Chance Warmack OG Alabama
Having just acquired Saffold, the Chargers can double down on improving their offensive line. Warmack is their type of guy, assuming that they'll want to angle-block under Mike McCoy.
18 Dallas Kenny Vaccaro FS Texas
Tampa-2 requires a few key elements to be successful, and Vaccaro is better than any of the three-techniques still on the board at this point. Dallas has had nothing at safety for years.
19 New York Giants Matt Elam FS Florida
Safety is a quiet need for the Giants, who lost Kenny Phillips in free agency. They'd like to trade down in taking Elam, but since there aren't any takers, they pull the trigger.
20 Chicago Zach Ertz TE Stanford
The Bears need a TE to be able to challenge the seam, and Ertz fits the west coast offense very well. He'll serve to open things up for Brandon Marshall by drawing attention inside.
21 Cincinnati Menelik Watson OT Florida State
Watson profiles as a LT, talent-wise, but the Bengals take him here to replace Andre Smith at RT. Smith wants megabucks in free agency, and the Bengals are right to pass on paying him.
22 St. Louis Arthur Brown OLB Kansas State
Arthur Brown reminds me of Keith Bulluck, and the Rams are missing that type of guy in their defense. It's not a sexy pick, but I think it's a good one.
23 Minnesota Bjoern Werner DE Florida State
Werner may not be dynamically quick as a pass rusher, but he can fit in nicely into Minnesota's four man front as a pass rush specialist early, and eventually as an every down DE.
24 Indianapolis Justin Hunter WR Tennessee
Hunter reminds me athletically and physically of A.J. Green, and sometimes, he plays like him.  I think that the Colts want to continue to facilitate success for Andrew Luck by getting a real field-stretcher in the building.
25 Minnesota Tavon Austin WR West Virginia
I like the Vikings to double up on receivers here. Austin isn't really that similar to Percy Harvin, but he's almost as dangerous in space. I think they specifically want a space player, so I jumped Austin a bit from my board to put him here.
26 Green Bay Eddie Lacy RB Alabama
The Packers say they want to get tougher and more physical, and the RB position is a good place to start. Lacy can give them some production at a position where they haven't seen much lately.
27 Houston DJ Hayden CB Houston
The Texans need to shore up the back end of their defense, and I think that Hayden would help them do that. He can be the nickelback at first, and maybe supplant the mediocre Kareem Jackson as the starter before too long.
28 Philadelphia Geno Smith QB West Virginia
I think the Broncos see a lot of players that they still like here, and feel good about trading down. The Eagles have to like Geno Smith at this point in the first round, given his experience playing in a spread/shotgun scheme.
29 New England David Amerson DB North Carolina State
This is absolutely a Patriots kind of guy, because they love DBs with ball skills. Amerson didn't have a great junior season, but based on his sophomore tape, he'd have been the top CB in this class.
30 Atlanta Tyler Eifert TE Notre Dame
This makes all the sense in the world, because it allows the Falcons to replace Tony Gonzalez after 2013. For the near-term, it gives them a pretty fearsome 12 personnel package.
31 San Francisco Jonathan Cyprien FS Florida International
The 49ers don't have a lot of needs, but replacing Dashon Goldson at FS is the biggest one. With all the picks that they have, picking for need here is the smart play.
32 Baltimore Johnathan Hankins DT Ohio State
Terrance Cody has been disappointing at NT, and Hankins allows the Ravens to get a guy in place who will probably be an upgrade. Hankins can play both the nose and as a 3-technique, and that kind of versatility is a benefit to the Ravens.

1.  I’m not in the arguing business, I’m in the saying what I think business.
2.  I get my information from my eyes.

Follow me on Twitter  While you’re at it, Like our Facebook page

RosterbationTed's Analysis