2013 IAOFM Rational Actor Mock Draft - NFC Analysis

NFC North

Detroit Lions

OT Eric Fisher (5), DE Tank Carradine (36), CB Blidi Wreh-Wilson (65), OG David Quessenberry (128), RB Christine Michael (132)

For the Lions, this is a needs-based class that manages not to really reach anywhere.  Fisher and Quessenberry can start on their OL right away, and help protect Matthew Stafford, who they've allowed to get hit way too much.

Carradine isn't the pass rusher that Cliff Avril was, but he can play LDE for the Lions in base situations, at least.

Wreh-Wilson is a good player to add to their CB mix, which has a bunch of nickelback types at this point.

Michael has talent, but the reputation of being an unfocused clown.  He should fit right in with the Lions.

Chicago Bears

TE Zach Ertz (20), LB Manti Te'o (50), RB-WR Theo Riddick (117)

I expect that Marc Trestman will run a pretty traditional West Coast offense, and the Bears are missing a TE to make that work.  I like Ertz a little better than Tyler Eifert, because I think he's a better blocker.

Te'o will fit the new scheme being installed by Mel Tucker well, even if he's only ultimately a two-down player.

Riddick is a versatile player who can help diversify the Bears offense.

Minnesota Vikings

DE Bjoern Werner (23), WR Tavon Austin (25), CB Tyrann Mathieu (52), LB Kevin Riddick (83), DT Kwame Geathers (102), WR Kenny Stills (120)

Werner isn't a guy with dynamic quickness off the edge, but I think he can be an 8-10 sack guy in the NFL.

Austin is a multi-position weapon, and Stills is more of a traditional slot receiver.

Mathieu is a great fit for the Cover 2 scheme the Vikings play, and I think he can be a full-time starter outside in that type of defense.

Riddick would likely start for the Vikings as a rookie MLB, and Geathers could compete as a rotational DT.

Green Bay Packers

RB Eddie Lacy (26), C Travis Frederick (55), QB Matt Barkley (88), TE Dion Sims (122)

All offense, all the time.  Lacy and Frederick help to add the physicality that the team says they're looking for.

Sims also could do so, if he'd play as physically as his size and strength suggest that he's capable of doing.

Barkley projects as a competent backup for Aaron Rodgers, and potentially as a develop-and-trade guy.

They can't count on Graham Harrell if they want to win in the absence of Rodgers.

NFC South

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

CB Jamar Taylor (43), DE Cornelius Washington (73), QB Mike Glennon (112), WR Conner Vernon (126)

Taylor is another resource to throw at the Bucs' secondary problem; he could replace Eric Wright fairly quickly if he comes as advertised.

Washington is exceptionally explosive, but was not all that productive as a collegian.  If he can translate his athleticism to the field, the Bucs could really have something.

Glennon is a developmental type, and Vernon projects as a nice slot receiver.

Carolina Panthers

DT Sylvester Williams (14), CB Logan Ryan (44), S Josh Evans (108)

Williams is an outstanding talent who can really help take the Panthers to a new level defensively.  He's the penetrator that they've been missing inside for years.

Ryan is a good zone CB who fits the Panthers' scheme very well.

Evans is a steady and accountable FS who always seems to be where he's supposed to be.

New Orleans Saints

DT Sheldon Richardson (15), OT David Bakhtiari (75), OG Hugh Thornton (109)

The Saints could stand to get bigger and better on both lines, and that's what this group is all about.  Richardson can replace the disappointing Sedrick Ellis, and give Rex Ryan a lineman who can both stack and penetrate.

Bakhtiari has LT talent, if he gets a little stronger with his anchor; he's a bit reminiscent of former Colorado Buffalo/Denver Bronco Matt Lepsis.

Thornton is a guy who can eventually be a starting guard, and allow the Saints to get cheaper at the position.

Atlanta Falcons

TE Tyler Eifert (30), RB Johnathan Franklin (60), FS Phillip Thomas (92), QB Sean Renfree (127), DE Corey Lemonier (133)

This group is all about replacing guys who may soon be gone:

Eifert can play with Tony Gonzalez for a year, and eventually replace him.

Franklin will be a nice rotational back behind Steven Jackson, and can assume a bigger role in a year or two.

Thomas can be a third safety for now, and possibly replace Thomas DeCoud if he walks as a free agent.

Renfree is an attempt to get cheaper and younger at backup QB.

Lemonier is a depth guy as a DE.

NFC East

Philadelphia Eagles

OLB Dion Jordan (4), QB Geno Smith (28), FS Eric Reid (67)

Jordan fits the 3-4 scheme that the Eagles are installing.  I don't think he's necessarily a dynamic pass rusher, but he's a better all-around OLB than guys like Trent Cole or Brandon Graham would be.  I like his ability to play the run, and drop into coverage.

Smith is picked late in the first round as a QB-of-the-future type, and if Michael Vick doesn't play well, the future could be soon.

Reid has more talent than production, and he plugs in nicely into an undertalented safety group.

Dallas Cowboys

FS Kenny Vaccaro (18), RB Giovani Bernard (47), NT Johnathan Jenkins (80), LB Khaseem Greene

The Cowboys have a staffing challenge as they convert to Monte Kiffin's 4-3 Tampa-2 scheme.  They're missing a safety who's comfortable coming into the box to play the run, and that's why I have them taking Vaccaro.  He can do everything they need him to do in this scheme.

The drafting of Jenkins to play the nose allows Jay Ratliff to play as the three-technique; it's not clear if he'll be effective there, but I think it's worth a try.

Greene would join Sean Lee and Bruce Carter to give the Cowboys a nice set of three starting LBs.

Bernard is a Jerry Jones type of back - fast and elusive, but soft and injury-prone.  He'll be the new Felix Jones!

New York Giants

FS Matt Elam (19), LB Kevin Minter (49), TE Gavin Escobar (81), RB Montee Ball (116)

Elam is a dynamic playmaker who runs all over the field.  He's not quite as fast as Troy Polamalu, but he plays a similar style.

Minter is a big and strong MLB, who is the type of player that the Giants have always favored inside.

Escobar has talent, and can help replace Martellus Bennett.

Ball is just a guy to me, but he's a Giants style of back.

Washington Redskins

OG Kyle Long (51), CB Tharold Simon (85), C Brian Schwenke (119)

Long and Schwenke would be nice fits in the zone-blocked scheme that the Redskins favor, and I think their O-line could use a couple new starters.

Simon is a tall CB, and we know Mike Shanahan likes those when he can get them (Too bad he cuts the ones who end up being good, like Brandon Browner).

NFC West

Arizona Cardinals

OT Lane Johnson (7), OG Justin Pgh (38), QB Tyler Wilson (69), FS Tony Jefferson (103)

The Cardinals would be a playoff-caliber team if their offensive line wasn't so atrocious.  This group addresses that need, with Johnson and Pugh, who should become the starting left side of their line from Day 1.

Wilson is a QB with starter attributes, and backup expectations, who can learn behind Carson Palmer for a while.

Jefferson is a backup/special teams type of safety, somewhat reminiscent of current Bronco Quinton Carter.

St. Louis Rams

OT D.J. Fluker (16), LB Arthur Brown (22), WR Robert Woods (46), RB Le'Veon Bell (76), WR-RS Ace Sanders (78), FS Bacarri Rambo (113)

Fluker can step in and start at RT right away, which allows the Rams to trade Rodger Saffold to the Chargers for the 76th pick.

That pick becomes RB Le'Veon Bell, who can step in and be a solid replacement for departed workhorse Steven Jackson.  

WRs Robert Woods and Ace Sanders bolster a group that's presently weak, but which has some potential, when you add them to last year's draftees Brian Quick and Chris Givens.

Brown gives the Rams their Keith Bulluck type that I'm sure Jeff Fisher has been looking for.

Rambo has some bad behavior in his past, and I think the Rams would be open to working with him, after having success with Janoris Jenkins.

Seattle Seahawks

WR Quinton Patton (56), RB Mike Gillislee (87), OT Oday Aboushi (123)

Patton is a pro-ready receiver who can play both outside and in the slot.  He'll be another nice piece of the puzzle to help Russell Wilson.

Gillislee is a different kind of back than Marshawn Lynch and Robert Turbin, and he'd make for a good change-of-pace from them.  I also think he's the kind of player who'll play special teams.

Aboushi is a swing tackle type, and having a good backup who can play both sides is a very valuable thing.

San Francisco 49ers

FS Jonathan Cyprien (31), DE Datone Jones (34), RB Marcus Lattimore (61), CB Jordan Poyer (74), OLB John Simon (131); traded for 2014 second- (Buffalo) and third-round (Detroit) picks.

Cyprien and Jones can help immediately on defense, with Cyprien replacing Dashon Goldson, and Jones playing in rotation, and eventually replacing Justin Smith.

Drafting Lattimore allows the 49ers to give him a medical redshirt for a year, and IR him.  With 13 draft picks, you know they're going to be looking for ways to stash a guy for a year, and I think that Lattimore could eventually replace Frank Gore.

Poyer and Simon are probably guys who project as backups on defense, and contributors on special teams as rookies.

The 49ers also acquire early picks in 2014 from teams which will probably not be very good in 2013.

1.  I’m not in the arguing business, I’m in the saying what I think business.
2.  I get my information from my eyes.

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