Ted's Analysis

Reflecting on tolerance and the Riley Cooper situation

Happy Friday, friends.  I wanted to try to engage today on a difficult topic that we’ve tended not to shy away from at IAOFM, and that’s race and racism.  I’m specifically going to apply it to the Riley Cooper situation, obviously, because that’s what’s going on right now. 

I say this topic is difficult because I think, in advance, that my take on the Cooper situation, and on the nature of using hateful words isn’t going to be fully satisfying to much of anybody.  This take is honest, though, and I think (and hope), logical, so here goes.

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Introducing the Defensive Scheme Type Indicator

Happy Tuesday, friends.  As promised in my last article, today, I want to propose a proposition.  I think that it’s high time that people stop acting like there are only two kinds of defense being played in the NFL, and that we come up with a better way to identify them. 

You’ll recall that last Tuesday, I made the case that the base personnel grouping (3-4 or 4-3) was not only not determinative of the character of a defense, it’s actually only barely relevant to the discussion.  It doesn’t necessarily contain any indication of tactical approach, so saying that a team runs a 3-4 defense means almost nothing, yet that's all you get from the football commentariat.  This injustice will not stand, man!

On offense, at least, the traditionally recognized groupings speak to tactical approaches.  When somebody says that a team runs a West Coast offense, you tend to think of horizontal passing, and timing routes, and a running game that sets up that kind of passing.  The basic principles are mostly common within the group.  That isn’t the case for a “3-4 defense” or a “4-3 defense,” not at all.

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Broncos defensive schemes through the years

Happy Friday, friends.  Today, I’m going to continue our look back at Broncos schemes through history.  On Tuesday, Doug sent a link to my offense article to Neil Payne at PFR.

Neil and I disagree on what the sweet spot is for identifying a scheme; he wants to group together as many as possible to evaluate splits, which is what you’d expect from a stats guy.

As I mentioned in the offense article, I am fine with that conceptually, up to a point, but you eventually start grouping schemes that are really dissimilar together.  Neil said he wanted to fit the Manning Offense into either Erhardt-Perkins, West Coast, or Air Coryell, and that he felt like Air Coryell is the closest fit.

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Broncos offensive schemes through the years

Happy Monday Tuesday, friends.  Pro Football Reference is doing something interesting, in trying to identify the offensive and defensive schemes that each team has employed throughout their histories.

I’m a bit of a scheme guy, as most of you know, so I thought I’d try to help them, and also provide an interesting read for our IAOFM readers.  Since I only go back to January of 1987 as a Broncos fan, I can’t help beyond that, but if any of our longtime fans have any ideas, let’s load up the comments, and the PFR guys can possibly benefit from that too.

The first thing I’d like to say is that it’s difficult for anybody to really find the sweet spot in classifying an offensive or defensive scheme.  You can get pretty exact with it, and make the case that one West Coast Offense is dramatically different from another.  The risk there is that you lose the ability to make the assumption that a pool of West Coast Offenses is fairly homogeneous.  

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Which position group is the Broncos’ biggest strength?

Happy Sunday, friends.  Since we’re approaching training camp, it seems like a good time to start prospectively discussing some 2013 Denver Broncos football.  What do you think about that? 

It’s really been since draft season since we had much substantive football material to talk about, and I’ve decided to reconvene the conversation at IAOFM by writing what is hopefully a thought-provoking article.

The case has been made by some people that the Broncos have the best overall 1-53 talent in the NFL.  I agree with those people, and I don’t see an area of the team that is below-average.  You have to line up on Sunday and do it, but this team is capable of winning the Super Bowl in 2013.  There are (and can be) no expectation management efforts going on for this edition of the Broncos.

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What makes a good football coach?

Happy Monday, friends.  I hope everybody had a nice holiday weekend.  I spent the time in Los Angeles, visiting my brother and his family, and during my travels, I saw where Doug linked a Mark Kiszla article about Foxball possibly leading to John Fox getting fired after 2013.

That spurred an interesting discussion in the Lard comments, and it got me to thinking about the nature of football coaching.  It’s a 4.5-hour drive from LA to Yuma, Arizona, and that’s a lot of thinking time.

What I’d like to explore today are the various parts of the job description of an NFL head coach.  Once we identify them, I then want to try to get at the question of which parts are most important.  If we’re fairly judging a coach, having an idea of that in place is crucial. 

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The Broncos’ Ministry of Truth

Happy Wednesday, friends.  Yesterday, longtime reader Yahmule had an interesting comment that inspired me to write an article:

Not only does Scott Kacsmar dispute Elway's placement on the all time comeback list, he takes the entire Bronco organization to task regarding their method of determining what constitutes a comeback. He seems to have done significant research across a couple different articles. Interesting reading, but maybe not what Bronco fans would like to hear.

You see, Kacsmar is one of these guys who latched onto a specific topic and researched the hell out of it, over a long period of time.  That topic is comebacks in NFL games, and Kacsmar has come to be seen as the expert on the topic in the football world.

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Average backup OL are fine for the Broncos

Happy Wednesday, friends.  I had a Twitter discussion last week with longtime reader Kriss Bergethon, in which we disagreed about whether it was feasible for the Broncos to acquire more quality veteran offensive line depth.

I was sitting in the Phoenix airport as we were tweeting, and I’ve been meaning to get back to this, as I think it’s a good opportunity to think about a couple of concepts in roster construction.

Kriss felt that the Broncos should seek to acquire more veteran linemen, and that’s a defensible position on the surface.  You should always want your team to maximize the quality of its 53 guys on the roster.  There are also a number of starter-caliber veterans on the street, who could probably be had for close to the minimum at this point, as their market seems to have dried up.

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You Got Served: Considering Jay-Z as a sports agent

Happy Thursday, friends.  Today, I want to get all thoughtful and contemplative, and consider a subject that’s creeping into NFL discussion, mostly with negative connotations.  I’d like to bring some balance to the discussion.

The subject du jour (which means “of the day,” for you Europhobes,) is Jay-Z’s move toward becoming a player agent.  Word is already out that DeSean Jackson has fired Drew Rosenhaus, and that he’s looking to get himself into the Roc Nation fold.

Jackson has a bit of a reputation as a me-first diva knucklehead WR, and race-baiting douchebag Mike Florio is being subtle at this point, but he already has his commenters frothing.  That’s generally been the tone of coverage of Jay-Z’s foray into agenthood.

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Pondering Quentin Jammer as Denver’s matchup safety

Happy Thursday, friends.  As you could probably tell yesterday, I’m pretty fired up about the Broncos' signing of DB Quentin Jammer.  I think it portends to be the acquisition that fills the team's last major hole, which was a defender who can cover a good TE man-to-man.

I could still go for a Dan Koppen-type as a backup interior lineman, but at this point, I’m just getting into luxury items.

Jammer has played corner for the last eleven years, and it’s funny: “Chargers fans” never really liked him that much, because he was a high first-round pick, and he never made enough big plays for their liking.  He was their own Robert Ayers - a pretty good football player who was overdrafted by a round.  To stupid fans who can’t let sunk costs go, and only focus on that which is relevant today, (i.e. what the player brings to the table every Sunday), that is very saddening.

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