Ted's Analysis

Gut Reaction: Don’t fret over the loss of Chris Harris

Happy Tuesday, friends. We’ve gotten a couple of emails lately wondering how the Broncos are going to deal with the loss of Chris Harris, their best and most consistent defensive back.

The simple answer is that the other defensive backs are going to have to step up. Duh, right?

I’m going to go a little beyond that today, even in a brief little post. The Broncos are actually pretty lucky right now, because none of the other three teams left in the playoffs are particularly well-built to capitalize on the loss of Harris.

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You Got Served: Don’t make pronouncements about coaching hires

Happy Friday, friends. I wanted to share some thoughts today about the coaching “carousel.” First, though, two questions –

1. What lame-ass reporter coined that term?

2. Does he get all proud every time somebody uses it, and tell his grandkids “Your clever old pop came up with that?”

Anyway, some vacancies have been filled, and others remain open, so I thought I’d weigh in generally on coaching hires, and how we tend to think and talk about them, which is to say, stupidly. As an accompaniment to this article, I suggest you re-read this article I wrote back in July about the nature of coaching football in the NFL. Peruse it, and then come back to this article, after the jump. We’ll wait.

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Breaking Down History: Peyton Manning’s TD passes, 1-10

Happy Monday, friends. As I mentioned amid the kerfluffle on Friday, I have recently come into a bit more free time, and I plan to put out some good analytical content over the next couple weeks.

When Peyton Manning agreed to come to the Broncos, I did a series of articles about the Manning Offense, which I called the simplest in the NFL.

For the most part, that remains true. This year, however, Adam Gase has introduced some creative wrinkles to the offense, and they’ve been used at key times to generate points.

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Live Blog: Broncos at Raiders

Inactives: Broncos - Kayvon Webster, Derek Wolfe, Wes Welker, Steve Vallos, C.J. Anderson, Sion Fua, Zac Dysert

Raiders - WR Jacoby Ford, WR Brice Butler, CB Mike Jenkins, G Lamar Mady, C/G Andre Gurode, T Menelik Jackson, DT Ricky Lumpkin

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You Got Served: Defense and diss tracks

Merry Christmas, friends! As I write this opening, it actually is the afternoon of December 25, so, rest assured, I’m not being one of those passive-aggressiveWar on Christmasmorons in saying so. I hope you have had a nice holiday season, whatever holiday(s) you may celebrate. By the time you read this, Kwanzaa will be well underway, so accordingly, Happy Kwanzaa!

You know, since I can’t just say Happy Holidays, and include both Christmas and Kwanzaa (and Hanukkah!) into one generic seasonal greeting. Because that oppresses people, or something.

Having just ended the ridiculously busy part of my accounting year (which lasted from July to December), I’ve been meaning to write an article about the Broncos defense for a few weeks, and the opportunity hadn’t presented itself until now. 

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You Got Served: How many times have the Pats been screwed by the refs this year?

Happy Friday, friends. I’ve been in Las Vegas this week attending some mergers & acquisitions training, and it’s a new and interesting experience being here for business. None of my buddies are here, and I have to get up and work each day, so the Vegas stimuli are confusing to my mind and body.

The lights and the music and the tables are saying party, but when I get back to my room, all I have are draft audited financial statements to review. Next time I’m here, I’ll party it up; for this week, it’s business.

I got a question on Twitter a few days ago from reader Jessica Deva about the Patriots.

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Q&A with Tom Gower from Total Titans

Happy Friday, friends.  The last time the Broncos and Titans met two years ago, Tom Gower and I exchanged questions and answers on the teams we know best.

Since it went so well, we decided to do it again. Tom also contributes to Football Outsiders, and we're pleased to work with him again, as we respect his work and thoughts about football.

Here are five questions that I asked, and Tom answered, about the Titans:

Q: The numbers suggest that the Titans pass defense is good. What have they been doing, and who is playing well in pass defense?

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You Got Served: Not all two-deep coverage is the same

Happy Wednesday, friends. I watched the film of the Kansas City game Tuesday night, and I was pretty surprised by what I saw in the All-22 view, because it went against the notion I had from watching the TV feed in real-time.

That is, I thought the Chiefs played a lot of single-high safety with an eighth man in the box to stop the run, and crowd short routes. You can't see the alignment of the safeties very well on the live view, and the outcome of the game (lots of deep passing by the Broncos, limited success running the ball) supported my thinking.

After all, the previous week, the Patriots stayed in two-deep all game, and contested every short route in front of it, trying to beat up the Broncos' receivers. That's how you get Knowshon Moreno running 37 times for 224 yards; the offense takes what the defense is giving it.

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You Got Served: Some observations on the Patriots

Happy Sunday, friends. I had some time materialize on my calendar yesterday, so I used it to watch the Patriots’ last two games.

In Week 9, they hung a franchise-worst 55 points on the Steelers, and won 55-31, and in Week 11, they lost a hard-fought game to the Panthers, on what was frankly a screwjob call by the officials as the clock expired.

The Steelers game was a clear outlier among a ragged group of offensive performances this season, and everything worked well in that game, as they had for Patriots teams of past years. Against the better Panthers defense, the Patriots had a harder time stringing together the drives they had two weeks earlier.

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Mailbag: What’s a rub?

Happy Sunday, friends. I'm into crunch time on studying for the tax section of the CPA exam, and I have some other stuff going on too, so I apologize for my recent scarceness. Since it's football Sunday, and since my brain needs a break from thinking about the calculation of taxable basis, I decided to answer a recent question from a reader. From Bryan:

Can Ted please do a write up about this "pick and rub" route thing? What the heck are pick and rub routes? Why are the chef fans all up in arms about them being illegal, and are they? Pleez to be 'splainin dis

Sure thing, Bryan. The first thing I'd say is that we need to level-set the vocabulary words, because the mainstream explainers of football tend to confuse the issues by using the wrong words:

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