Mark it Zero

Getting the Berger Picture: Why Josh McDaniels is smarter than you

If you were inside the head of Josh McDaniels, you might be tempted to tell everyone how smart you really are.

Then again, if you were Josh McDaniels, you'd be smart enough to shut up and keep your knowledge to yourself.  Al Davis has spies everywhere (look behind your bushes right now if you think I'm lying), so there's really no need to give up trade secrets.

During the bye week, McDaniels waived Punter Brett Kern and replaced him with (let's just say it) journeyman punter Mitch "Where's the Beef?" Berger.  In a seemingly puzzling move, Denver's starting punter was on the street.  We can all sleep well, however, knowing Kern was picked up by Tennessee in a few days.  The bad news for Kern is that he's not going to the playoffs this year.  The good news?  He'll get plenty of practice kicking with Vince Young under center.

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The Dude Abides: The Stats That Don’t Lie, Week 8

"Sure, The Stats That Don't Lie could have stayed in the past. They could have even been king. But in their own way, they ARE king. Hail to the king, baby."

--Bruce Campbell
Week 8 was Halloween weekend in the NFL.  There were some tricks (more teams rolling out The Wildcat), there were some treats (Brett Favre's saccharine-laced, I love Green Bay speech), but 8 week will be best known for the number of teams that got carved up like pumpkins.
Including your Denver Broncos.  In what appeared to be the most ghoulish of all acts, Denver dressed up like the Oakland Raiders and scared its fans by losing all of the important statistical battles.

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The Dude Abides: Week 6 Spotlight on Mike Nolan (and his adjustments)

With the bye, it gave me ample opportunity to watch every play of the San Diego/ Denver game again.  Usually I do this Spotlight post on Saturday Nights/Sunday Mornings so that people will have something to read before the game.  I decided to continue this trend, even though two weeks have passed since this game, and much of what I saw when I looked at the game again has been mentioned by others.  So I certainly don't want to take any originally credit for all of these points.

This week, I had intended to look at Chris Kuper and Robert Ayers.  However, after another week of adjustments by by Mike Nolan, I simply couldn't resist looking at what he was doing.   Everyone in the MSM continues to talk about Denver's adjustments in the second half, but what exactly did they do so differently from the first half?  Did the players just play harder? Did Phil Rivers eat a bad hot dog at halftime?  Did Dumervil find a phone booth and put on a cape?

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The Dude Abides: Turnover margin and winning percentage

(Or How I Learned To Stop Worrying and Love Mike Nolan)

Al Davis once said, "Don't worry about mistakes.  Just win."

The problem with this statement is, that in the NFL, when you make a mistake, you rarely win.

In fact, you lose.  A lot.

And the more mistakes you make, the more likely it is that you are going to receive a first-class, gold-plated, butt whoopin' of the sort that is reserved for pickpockets and teams quarterbacked by JaMarcus Russell.

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The Dude Abides: The Stats That Don’t Lie, Week 7

"The Stats That Don't Lie are gonna eat lightning and crap thunder!"

---Burgess Meredith

Week 7 brought a well deserved break for the Broncos (God even rested on the 7th day), no less than 6 bona fide blowouts (an average night for a Raider at a singles bar), and 3 more interceptions from new Bears' mascot Jay Cutler (2 more and he can tie Orton's season total from 2008 in less than half the games).

In other words, a decent weekend.

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The Dude Abides: Why more than one turnover is really bad for your head coach

Don't make the same mistake twice.

You've heard this nugget of wisdom a hundred times.  

In the NFL, it's literally true.  For if you turn the ball over twice, your chances of winning go way down.  Not quite as far as the Raiders' playoff chances in November, but very far nonetheless.

We know that turnovers are the single biggest reason for winning and losing in the NFL.  It's estimated that the team that wins the turnover battle in an individual game ends up winning the game about 80% of the time.  

But how do the number of turnovers a team commits in a game affect winning?  Do teams that commit 0 turnovers win more often than teams that commit 1?  Or how about 1 turnover versus 2 turnovers?   Does it even matter when we compare 4 turnovers to 5 turnovers?

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The Dude Abides: The Stats That Don’t Lie, Week 6

That's what I love about these Stats That Don't Lie, man. I get older, they stay the same age. 

 ---Matthew McConaughey

Week 6.  Another Broncos win.  Another way for Eddie Royal to electrify Denver fans (outside of Taco Bell).  And one to grow on for the kids:

                    If you want  to beat this year's Broncos, you better bring a lunch pail...and a whole lot of hope.

Welcome once again to the Stats That Don't Lie, your weekly shot of statistical Human Growth Hormone.  These are the Elvis Dumervil of stats.  You simply can't get away from them. They are the Mike Tyson of stats.  They will eat your children.  They are Turnovers, Field Position, Time of Possession, and 3rd Down Efficiency.

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The Dude Abides: What happens when you finally hit back

In the days of the old west, you didn't get into another man's face unless you were prepared to engage your pistolas in the center of town 10 minutes later.

The Chargers failed to realize this yesterday.

And the Broncos were the only team left standing after all the gun play.

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The Dude Abides: Week 5 spotlight on the Wild Horses formation

My intention this week was to look at Robert Ayers and Jabar Gaffney, but as sometimes happens, things get in the way.  In this case, it was a pee wee football championship (no, it wasn't a Raider game).  So I scrapped the idea of Ayers and Gaffney and settled on putting the spotlight on the mutant formation that is the Wild Horses.  

Let me first say there have been a few other posts here at MHR about the Wild Horses formation, namely this excellent post by MHR member Flunkie and another by Vortex7 here.  And as our own Ted Barlett said in this post from August 2009, there is nothing particularly innovative about the Wild Cat formation.   However, it's worth examining the first drive because it shows you the kind of coach McDaniels is and the potential for the Wild Horses in future games.

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The Dude Abides: It’s Charger limerick time

It´s not Raider week, but still, it´s a division opponent.  So I decided to create a few Charger Limericks.

And besides, I really hate powder blue.  I mean, I really hate it.

As always, give your own Limerick a whirl.  You can probably create an even dozen just from the Tila Tequila incident alone.  And yes, Charger fans, you can play too.  That is if you can actually rhyme and count syllables.

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