Elway bewilders on The Jim Rome Show

John Elway was a guest on Jim Rome's radio show earlier today, and frankly he had some interesting things to say about the Broncos going forward. He talked about Josh McDaniels and his future as a head coach, the drafting of Tim Tebow and whether Tebow can be a successful NFL QB, and the Jay Cutler drama from last week. Most alarming notably, Elway shared some baffling thoughts insight as to why he decided to hire John Fox as the Broncos' new head coach: 

I think that we're we've been defensively with the Broncos, (having had) 6 defensive coordinators in 6 years...I had a mindset of (wanting) to get something done on defense...because to me that's how you win Super Bowls...you play good defense and be adequate or better on offense, you've got a chance to be Super Bowl champs.

Really, John? Adequate on offense? Oh, brother. Apparently John doesn't remember how he won his own Super Bowls...Listen to Elway's appearance with Rome in full here.

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NFL injury rates and the 18-game season

Why not add two games a year to the NFL regular season schedule? It’s a fair question, since the four preseason games that teams gouge season ticket holders for are almost universally considered excessive. The owners want to keep the total games at 20, but they are strongly in favor of moving two of the preseason time-wasters into profitable, full-stadium affairs. There’s really only one problem with that.

Well, make that two problems. The first is that players are already banged up and aching as the season wears to its close. Adding two more games is forcing players who are already injured, worn down and/or hurting to put themselves in a situation that can end their careers two more times each year, and ownership has been far less exuberant about talking compensation for the players for those two extra games.

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Journalistic pride, anyone? Lard 2-2-11

Good Morning, Broncos fans! Well, the DP writers have once again failed Broncos History 100 - Legwold tries to say that TD rushed for 2,000 yards, won the MVP and SB MVP all in the same season. Actually Jeff, the SB MVP came a season prior to the other two. Details... Oh, back to the article. Legwold says that Josh McDaniels didn't endeavor to run the ball enough and backs it up with the Broncos' 12th-best ranking in rushing yards in 2009. Huh? And never mind the 125.8 yards/game over the last eight games when the O-Line was intact in 2010.

So - in recent weeks, Legwold has misstated what rounds the Broncos' 2011 draft choices fall within, Woody relied upon his faulty memory to incorrectly state how SB XXXII ended and then said Dom Capers works for the Bears, and now Legwold offers up this new gaffe. So much for journalism and fact checking, folks...

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On Bubbles (and I don’t mean that dude from The Wire)

A Navy buddy of mine named Billy Gamble recently asked if I thought there would be a lockout that would affect the 2011 season.  He couched the question in terms of his own outrage with paying $8 for a beer, and I think that's a fairly common and reasonable fan reaction:

I spend a lot of money on football, so what the hell is the problem?  Why would there even be talk of a lockout?  Isn't there enough money coming in right now for everybody to get a fair piece?  I mean, come on, 8 freaking dollars for a beer?

The short answer is, no, I don't think there will be a lockout that causes any games not to be played.  It's possible-to-likely, though, that a lockout occurs which delays the start of the new NFL year, and makes things which are normally orderly, like free agency and offseason workouts, a bit chaotic.

I decided that I'd talk extensively today about NFL economics, and move from that into a discussion about the real issues in this collective bargaining negotiation.  As usual, my assumption is that my readers are smart enough to understand all of this, but I realize that there may be some detailed questions which you may have. I'll be glad to answer those in the comments.

First, let's talk about some accounting concepts, at a really basic level.  This is obviously what I do for a living, and it can get very complicated, but, for now, I'm only going to touch on stuff which frankly everybody should understand, and which a shocking number of people misunderstand.

The first key term is revenue, which is the top line of any income statement.  Revenue simply means gross income received for goods and services.  The $8 for the beer, the $200 for the ticket, and the $1 billion that DirecTV pays each year for Sunday Ticket rights all end up as revenue.  All current-term and future cash inflows related to business operations become revenue.

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Readers’ Choice Lard 2-1-11

Good Morning, Broncos fans! It's time for some greedy, shameless begging. As you may know, IAOFM is closing in on five months of life as a blog; quite frankly, it has gone better than we had ever imagined it would to this point. Naturally, this is very much thanks to you, our exceptionally loyal readers. Apparently, some of you have even been crazy enough nominated us for About.com's 2011 Readers' Choice Award for Best NFL Team Blog. This alone is quite a flattering honor, and we thank you for that. But here's the deal - About.com is leaving the nominations open through this Friday night, and then they will announce five finalists for each category in a week's time (only one Team Blog will win - there's not one for each team). We've gotten a late start in the process, as nominations began on Jan 13. So, we need even more of your help - please nominate us and help get the word out on how arrogant self-serving cocky great we are. Thanks again, and frankly we'll still love you tomorrow even if you don't think we deserve it nominate us.

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The Dude’s Worthless Wins Projector

When the going gets tough, the tough simply reach into the vault.

It's a slow week, so I thought I'd revisit a subject I've touched upon several times before--namely, the subject of luck.  Which NFL teams got lucky in 2010 and which teams got the shaft?

Before I jump into numbers, let me preface everything I'm about to show you with the notion that defining luck is problematic by itself.  One man's missed 26-yard field goal is another man's great push from the interior of the defensive line.  And as we've all seen, stripping the ball may very well be a skill, but recovering the fumble is almost entirely random chance.  So we should accept going into the topic that we'll likely not agree on the premise. 

This may look like I'm already backing from the data.  So be it.  I'm fine with that.  I've become much less of a stats guy over the last two years anyway.  Thus, I've lost my attachment to the outcome, you might say.  Very zen of me, isn't it?  

The view is also grounded in several points.  First, as I've broken more tape down over the last several years, I've realized that individual stats in the NFL are somewhat limited.  Let me give you an easy example.

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Fox reportedly forced to keep Studesville

Just two weeks ago, Panthers running backs coach Jim Skipper had been rumored to be joining the Broncos' staff under new head coach John Fox. On Thursday, the Broncos announced they had completed their coaching staff, and the man who had spent nine years working under Fox (including the last five as his assistant head coach) was nowhere to be found among the Broncos' employment rolls. Today, Skipper is without a job.

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Pro Bleh Lard 1-31-11

Good Morning, Broncos fans! Last night's Pro Bowl featured a 42-0 NFC lead, 96 combined points, eight turnovers, and two INTs apiece for Philip Rivers and Matt Cassel. Brandon Lloyd caught one pass for 15 yards, while Champ Bailey had four tackles. Browns center Alex Mack scored at the end of the game on a lateral play that is the Pro Bowl in a nutshell. The NFC defenders' interest in pursuing that play encapsulates what the three-hour tour is like for viewers at home. Torture.

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2011 Pro Bowl Open Thread

Enjoy the game, and go Champ and BLloyd!!

Running fools Lard 1-30-11

Good Morning, Broncos fans! Does anyone at the Post understand why the Broncos didn't run the ball well in the first half of the season? Were they actually paying attention up in the press box? Klis pays a visit to Legwold Land and shares his own brilliant analysis which says that teams with lots of rushing attempts did well in terms of either yards or points allowed on defense. Funny thing is, he announces that the best three defenses in the league for his money in 2010 were Green Bay, Chicago and New Orleans. Where did these three teams rank in terms of rushing attempts? 20th, 21st and 30th, respectively.

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