Good Morning, Broncos fans! Mistakes and a difficult schedule have often been cited as the main culprits in Denver's three losses.
But let's not forget about the factor of luck, specifically when it comes to fumbles.
As mentioned by Andrew Mason, the team has had the remarkable misfortune of having lost all seven of its offensive fumbles - three by Demaryius Thomas, two by Willis McGahee, and one each by Peyton Manning and Knowshon Moreno.
For clarity's sake, Thomas's first fumble was on the game-ending hook-and-lateral play against Houston, and of course, Knowshon's fumble was clearly recovered by Eric Decker before the scab refs did their thing. From our vantage that's really six offensive fumbles and what should be one own recovery.
Even with those tweaks, the Broncos have been unlucky - but not quite as unfortunate as Mason's 47.82% defensive recovery figure suggests.
Welcome to the Week 6 edition of the Stats That Don't Lie. So far, we've been tracking the Broncos' ranking via the metrics of Brian Burke's efficiency ratings and PFR's Simple Rating System (SRS).
Starting today, we'll add in PFF's grading system, so that we're accounting for what the tape says as well.
As we expected, Sunday's loss at New England did little to harm Denver's standing relative to the ANS and PFR metrics.
Happy Tuesday, friends. I wanted to take a few moments today to evaluate the overall state of affairs for the 2012 Broncos. When you’re a fan of a team, it’s easy to watch a few losses, and take them hard, and get all emotional about them. It can seem like all is lost, and that this guy should get benched, and that guy should get fired, and that if you were the GM, things would be different.
I’m a professional analyst, and a key part of the analyst skill set is the ability to be dispassionate, and just try to see things for what they are. I work with a guy who is a Steelers fan, and he keeps his security badge on a Steelers lanyard, and he has Steelers crap on his car, and in his office. That’s not the kind of Broncos fan I am. I’ve owned two Broncos jerseys in the last 10 years or so, and they’re both useless now. (Catler and Teebs, if you must know).
I’m not a fanatic – I started out being one as a kid, but in the course of becoming a widely-read writer about the Broncos, my approach to fanhood became kind of professional and dispassionate. This is like a job, and today, I’m going to do my job, and tell you what I think is going on with the Broncos without emotion.
Tony Carter set the Twittersphere afire last night with a wildly insensitive remark about seeing a late movie in the Denver area. Not sure what took so long, but he recently apologized:
I am truly sorry for the insensitive and inappropriate comment I made last night. It will never happen again.— Tony Carter(@tonycarter904) October 9, 2012
We'll hope Carter truly understands how vile his original tweet was, and that it's the last of the sort from any Denver player.
Good Morning, Broncos fans! From a league-wide view, rather than a Broncos perspective, there was one facet of Sunday's loss to the Patriots that stood out: the pace with which New England's offense operated.
The haters will always call him a cheater, but the reality is that Bill Belichick always finds an edge. It's ironic that he's considered to be arrogant, with the truth being that Belichick is forever on a knowledge quest, and never do his actions suggest that he thinks he's figured everything out.
It's why he's constantly evolving, and why his Patriots have reflected so many different philosophies despite having the same superstar quarterback for the past 12 seasons.
We are all aware of the Hoodie's meetings of the mind with Urban Meyer, and with former Belichick assistant Nick Saban.
Leave it to Teebs to know that tonight's is the 666th MNF game, and to tweet about it. Skip Bayless predicts that if Tebow takes over next week, he'll lead the Jets to a 7-4 finish and a playoff berth, all while summoning up the chutzpah to call himself "EXTREMELY OBJECTIVE" about Teebs (yes, in all caps).
Enjoy the game!
Happy Monday, friends. I’m going to give yesterday’s game a broadcast-angle review tonight, and another coach’s film review on Wednesday, but for today, I wanted to write a quick article about something that gets talked about frequently, but isn’t well-understood. Today’s topic will be the first-place schedule.
The best path to the playoffs in the NFL is in winning your division. Organizing in divisions is a true test of quality for a subset of teams, because for 14 of their 16 games, they play the same teams. Here is how an NFL schedule rubric lays out:
|Type of game||Number|
|Division home-and-home||6 games|
|Another division in same conference||4 games|
|Another division in the other conference||4 games|
|Teams from the other divisions in same conference with same finish||2 games|
Good Morning, Broncos fans! Denver has been a puzzling team so far this season, with all three of its losses featuring late 20+ point deficits and furious comebacks that fell short.
Yesterday's 31-21 loss to the Patriots (Gamebook, ANS boxscore) very much resembled the Week 3 loss to the Texans, with the Broncos defense getting gashed early and often via both the run and pass, before finally finding its way a drive or two too late.
What's the cause? Is it a talent deficit? A team still learning about itself, what with so much new personnel and yet another defensive coordinator?
We've cracked the code here at IAOFM.
It's elk season here in Colorado.
Today, the animals were safe, though. It was the Broncos who got gutted.
The Broncos knew the Patriots were going to run a no-hunddle offense. They'd seen it on film for four weeks.
The reality of playing against the no-huddle, though, was quite different.
The Patriots regularly snapped the ball with twenty-five seconds on the clock. That's not just a no-huddle offense. That's a video game. Sixty minutes later, the Broncos were gassed, John Fox was baffled, and the Broncos were wounded.
Like any wounded animal, the Broncos did put up a fight. But in the end, it's the Patriots who wore orange and came in for the kill.