Gut Reaction: Divisional Round - Broncos at Patriots

In the real world, Goliath wins--a lot.

In fact, Goliath Tom Brady tonight almost threw for as many touchdowns (6) as David Tim Tebow had completions (9).

Tebow threw for 136 yards.  I guess that's 316 just written another way.

If we take 136 at face value, this from 1 Corinthians 13:6: "Rejoiceth not in iniquity, but rejoiceth in truth."

In today's NFL, the truth is Bill Belichick, Tom Brady, and the New England Patriots.

Many Broncos fans will rejoiceth in the fact that the Broncos even made the playoffs to begin with.  If you like to think of the Broncos as a small-college football team happy enough to make a bowl game, then clap your hands.  If you're into winning championships, set your sights higher and save the rah-rah chants for the tourists.

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Open Thread - Divisional Saturday

Enjoy the games everyone, and Go Broncos! Doug Farrar previews the game.

Denver will be without WR Eric Decker, LS Lonie Paxton, S Brian Dawkins, TE Julius Thomas, T Ryan Harris, DE Derrick Harvey, and Mike Mohamed; the Broncos have no fullback on their 53-man roster, and reserve linemen Manny Ramirez and Tony Hills will again be active tonight.

Inactive for New England are QB Ryan Mallett, DB Nate Jones (yes, that one), RB Shane Vereen, LB Gary Guyton, G Donald Thomas, T Sebastian Vollmer, and NT Ron Brace

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Former Broncos owner Kaiser dies

Former Broncos owner Edgar Kaiser died on Wednesday at the age of 69 while in Toronto. Kaiser originally purchased the team from the Phipps family in 1981 for roughly $30M before selling it to current owner Pat Bowlen in 1984 for $65M. Although Kaiser only owned the Broncos for three years, it was a remarkably impactful tenure; in 1981 he hired Dan Reeves, and in 1983 he pulled off the unthinkable in acquiring John Elway from the Colts.

But in 1999, Kaiser filed a lawsuit against Bowlen in an attempt to repurchase part of the team and claiming the latter had violated the terms of their sale agreement. A jury sided with Kaiser in 2004, but the Colorado Court of Appeals agreed with a Denver district judge's ruling which had sided with Bowlen.

The Daily Lard 1-14-12

Good Morning, Broncos fans! It's been exactly six years since Denver last played in a divisional playoff game - Saturday, January 14th at 6pm Broncos Time, also against Bill Belichick, Tom Brady, Josh McDaniels and the New England Patriots. Hopefully tonight will be just like that magical one:

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Broncos add LS Binn, cut FB Sylvester

With Lonie Paxton ruled out for tomorrow's game, the Broncos have signed veteran long snapper David Binn, formerly of the Chargers. Binn, who turns 40 next month, spent all of his 17 seasons in San Diego and is the Chargers' all-time leader in games played at 256; San Diego released him prior to the 2011 regular season. To create room for Binn on the roster, Denver waived FB Austin Sylvester, who had been promoted from the practice squad three weeks ago but failed to see action with the team.

Thoughts on the Patriots game

Happy Friday, friends.  I’ve spent all week (9 to 5 every day) in an SAP workshop that’s part of my MBA program, and it’s had me busy day and night.  (I don’t know why I expected different, but I did.)  As such, I haven’t had much time to write or watch film lately.  I haven’t seen any Patriots stuff since they played the Broncos, so I don’t have any great new insight to offer on that front.  What I was thinking I’d do is share some strategy thoughts for tomorrow night’s game, heavily leveraging what I saw four weeks ago and what I’ve seen lately from the Broncos.  Something is better than nothing, right?  For more detail, you can refer to my Digesting piece from a month ago.

The Broncos finally hit some throws against heavy boxes against Pittsburgh, and it won them the game, obviously.  I didn’t expect Pittsburgh to play the Broncos any differently than they play anybody else, but they did.  They played a lot of nine in the box, and they played their CBs in man coverage, which isn’t their strength.  I don’t think that Dick LeBeau had a particularly good plan, and I think that Mike McCoy had a very good plan.

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Broncos to be without Paxton, Decker; Fisher takes Rams job

It turns out the Broncos will be without LS Lonie Paxton tomorrow for their divisional playoff game against New England. Word had been that despite missing practice this week due to personal reasons, Paxton would be present tomorrow. Denver doesn't list a backup long snapper on its depth chart, but Arnie Stapleton says Russ Hochstein is likely to fill in for Paxton. According to PFW, the Broncos worked out two long snappers yesterday: Jason Kyle and Andrew Schulze.

I was going to insert a spy joke here, but obviously something rather serious is going on in his life. Whatever Lonie's dealing with, our thoughts go out to him and his family.

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The Daily Lard 1-13-12

Happy Friday, Broncos fans! It's going to be a cold one in Foxborough tomorrow night, with a gametime temperature of 22º F and a feel of 13º F when factoring in wind chill. As the game goes on, the temperature is expected to drop a few degrees (by both measures).

Along those lines, Brian Burke expanded upon his look into how weather affects game play, and there are some rays of hope for the Broncos which may be conducive to Foxball. Burke finds that extreme (for the NFL) temperatures tend to reduce both passing efficiency and the number of plays run on offense. And, we all know by now how difficult it is to contain the Patriots passing offense, so obviously the Broncos will appreciate any help from Mother Nature. Let's all pray hope for cold and wind!

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The Daily Lard 1-12-12

Good Morning, Broncos fans! In his analysis of the Denver/New England matchup, Andy Benoit thinks Tim Tebow will again be given enough time to make some throws against the Pats' Cover 3 defense. As for the running game, Benoit thinks the key will be how well J.D. Walton holds up in his one-on-one matchups with Vince Wilfork, against whom Walton thrived in their Week 15 meeting.

On the other side, Benoit thinks the Broncos will again have trouble covering both Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez; his guess is they'll place Chris Harris on Hernandez duty and again utilize D.J. Williams and Wesley Woodyard to disrupt Gronkoski's release at the LOS. Benoit says New England's likely response of putting Gronkowski in the slot and forcing a matchup with someone like Jonathan Wilhite could cause serious issues for Denver.

Meanwhile, Pat Kirwan thinks this rematch will be closer than the first meeting was, and that the Pats' lack of playmakers like Pittsburgh's Troy Polamalu and James Harrison may allow Denver to put up a bunch of points. On defense, Kirwan figures the Broncos will have a tougher time rushing Tom Brady than they did against Big Ben, and he strangely thinks the Broncos have more distractions despite having nothing to lose and New England's coaching changes.

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Wednesday Musings: Studying the O-line’s play on Sunday, more on Ayers

As the incandescence of the Broncos victory fades to a warming glow, I wanted to take some time to talk about the OL’s performance in the Pittsburgh game. Simply put - it was remarkable. You have to keep in mind that by some fairly sophisticated measures, this is the ‘worst’ offensive line in the NFL. If you keep cumulative stats, it’s fair to say that their average ranking in some important categories was fairly poor. They were asked to learn an offense which is different from last year’s, then to throw that out and run an offense that some of the players had never run before. They capped off their season to date by shutting down the pass rush of a very good Pittsburgh team. I’ve said it before and will again here - I wish that Pittsburgh had been healthier, because on that day, I don’t think they could have beaten the Broncos. Denver was too focused, too tired of losing and too tired of hearing that they didn’t have a chance. There are times when being the underdog is the way to find the inner fire that can consume the other team, leaving only the taste of ashes in its wake.

Without the performance of the OL - in both the running and passing games - having picked up both systems, including a right tackle who topped off his rookie newness by taking on a position that he’d never played before, but who stepped into his first playoff game like a seasoned pro - neither the outcome of this game nor that of the season that preceded it. It’s true that there were some rough games for the OL. It’s just as true that there were a lot more good ones - enough to get a somewhat shaky ship into the advanced harbor of the playoffs. The harbor may be mined, but Denver negotiated the first leg of it well. The line played a big role in that.

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