Week 5 Open Thread

Enjoy the games everyone, and Go Broncos!!

Big Fat Stat Preview (and pregame limerick, too!) - Broncos/Ravens

Quick, who is last in the league in turnover margin? 

Detroit?  Buffalo? San Francisco?

If you guessed the Raiders, you almost got it.  They are tied for 24th.  And it’s always a legitimate guess to place the Raiders as the worst in any category. 

But how many of you guessed the Baltimore Ravens? 

That’s right.  The Ravens are officially minus-7 on the year in turnover differential.  Dead last in the league.

And yet this is a team that is 3-1.  So what do we make of this turnover stat?

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Sunday morning thoughts

Who’s in Charge Here, Anyway?

I wanted to put up a brief blurb of thanks to Titans DC Chuck Cecil for sharing the digitus impudecus with the refs and the crowd - including the kids both there at the game and on TV. Note to Coach Cecil - All the families with children want to thank you for sharing that teaching moment. I understand that it’s a loss of control during a very high stress situation, but you know where you play and about those big things called cameras. I think that the $40,000 was just about right. You earned every penny of that fine. It’s pretty hard to come down on players for acting out on the field when your coordinators are making obscene gestures on the sidelines. When you show that you don’t have any control, you do a pretty good job of suggesting that your players take the cheap shots when they do, just as they were accused of. Things like that start - and can stop - at the top.

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Triple-ten Lard 10-10-10

Good Morning, Broncos Fans! Well, here’s that always-scary matchup for Denver - the Ravens in Baltimore. Aside from a win, what I’m hoping to see most of all is that the Broncos are a tougher team than they’ve ever been, as Ted Bartlett averred earlier in the week. What makes this trip always so intimidating, of course, is that the Broncos seem to get pushed around every time they show up at M&T, and that stretches back to that brutal playoff loss to Big Play Shay & Company. Let’s hope to see the LOS moving in different directions today, not just towards the Broncos. We’ll need to see not only that, but no deep turnovers and some semblance of protection greater than what Kyle Orton received last Sunday. Yes, the sack rate is low. But the hits and the sacks add up no matter how often you’re chucking…

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Fat Man’s Late Night Snack - 7 reasons the Broncos will beat the Ravens

(Note: Each Saturday we bring you a tasty late-night Broncos snack.  The Kool-Aid is optional, but we’re drinking enough for everyone.)

Man shall not live by the spread alone. 

If you’ve paid any attention to the media this week, you’ve probably seen tomorrow’s game billed as the league’s best passing offense versus the league’s best passing defense.  While this is technically true when viewed through the prism of total yards per game, it doesn’t mean that you’re going to see Kyle Orton chucking the ball at 20-yard clips or Brandon Lloyd battling along the sideline for deep balls.

You’ve probably also heard that the Broncos absolutely must establish some sort of running game in order to have a chance in the game.  This is equally untrue.  Statistically speaking, passing the football has always (unless we go back 6 decades) had a significantly higher correlation coefficient to winning than running the football.  Moreover, today’s passing game, if done properly, has the ability to replace the run a lot of the time. 

In today’s NFL, running the football is truly secondary to the pass.  Still, the run has some importance, if, for nothing else, to keep a defense from simply guessing pass on every play.

But if the Broncos aren’t going to challenge the Ravens deep and they aren’t going to establish the run, how are they going to beat the Ravens? 

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The Jesus, The Generator and the Experts - Week 5

If you didn’t know, this week they awarded the Nobel Peace Prize.

But more importantly, what exactly was Peter King doing?

Continuing to get his butt kicked by my picks, that’s what.

As we usually do, we ask our random number generator (RNG) to makes its picks for the week’s NFL games.  We then compare these picks to the so-called experts.  To make things even more lively, I include my cat, Jesus Quintana, in on the picks, along with Doug Lee and myself (Doc Bear is too smart for this).  The RNG is simply armed with the notion that 57% of the time, the home team is a winner in the NFL.  Quintana picks between two quarters as I drop them to the floor.  Doug Lee uses his superior intellect.

I use Kahlua and a proprietary mathematical formula.  If that doesn’t work, I just drink more of grandpa’s cough medicine.

So how has the RNG done?

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Knowshon, Larsen out Lard 10-9-10

Good Morning, Broncos fans! Unfortunately, Knowshon Moreno and Spencer Larsen have been ruled out for tomorrow’s game in Baltimore. Andre’ Goodman and Wesley Woodyard are listed as questionable. Meanwhile, Champ Bailey thinks he could get dealt away. Can’t see that happening, but if it does then the Broncos must have an even higher opinion of Perrish Cox than we thought. Naturally, the geniuses over at Bleacher Report are speculating on a Bailey trade to the Patriots for G Logan Mankins. Can’t even make this stuff up. Well, they can…

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Broncography: The story of Demaryius Thomas, Part 2

Note: This is the second of a two-part story, the first of which appeared earlier today.

Wise beyond his years, he realized that he was about an average size for a shooting guard. He was big and fast enough to do great things as a WR, and realized that there weren’t that many NFL receivers with his combination of size, speed and elusiveness. He looked for colleges with just that in mind. To him, Georgia Tech seemed like a very good fit. Chan Gailey was running a pro-style attack, and that seemed to Thomas as if it might improve his chances in the NFL Draft.

Following his 2007 season, however, the Yellow Jackets brought in Paul Johnson to run the triple-option offense; one which emphasizes various options that put up a lot of running yards and had worked well for Johnson when he was at Navy.  One of the advantages for Demaryius was that he was, from his time in high school and middle school, already a remarkably advanced blocker. He had taken the usual freshman redshirt year and got the work on his management degree well underway. He returned to football in 2007. He playing in all 13 of their games that year, started 10, including the final 8 games. He was second on the team in receptions with 35. He also managed to average 15.9 yards per reception, and was a fierce blocker. Two of the receivers from GT left, unhappy with the installation of the triple option. DT decided to stay.

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Broncography: The story of Demaryius Thomas, Part 1

Note: This is the first of a two-part story, the rest of which will appear later today at 3pm ET.

It’s a story that’s been seen in every city in America: Life becomes more and more difficult, and a family can’t manage the bills. In this family, as is far too common in black society here in the US, there was no husband; just two women - a mother and her daughter - and a young boy, living in Montrose, Georgia. That child, Demaryius Thomas, had been born on Christmas Eve 1987, one of three children. Demaryius also had two sisters,  Tonecia and Tyeshia Smith. Like many people before them, they decided to accept values that were common in their own neighborhood. The older woman - grandmother to the child of the daughter that lived with her - began to sell drugs, starting with marijuana. It was illegal, dangerous for her, common in that strata of our society, and it made sure that food was on the table and a working roof was over their heads. She first sold marijuana, and was arrested and convicted for it within the first year that she began to sell it - in 1986.

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Contract talks off with Champ Lard 10-8-10

Good Morning, Broncos fans! The injury roller coaster rolls on, as Knowshon Moreno missed practice yesterday and is “questionable” for Sunday, according to Josh McDaniels. Andre’ Goodman and Wesley Woodyard again were limited participants. In another surprising turn, the Broncos have decided to put off contract negotiations with Champ Bailey’s agent until after the season after reportedly being close to a deal.

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