The most talented musician of the last 20 years, Sublime's Bradley Nowell, sang, "we're only gonna die for our own arrogance, that's why we might as well take our time." Wise words. Of course, he died at age 27 of a heroin overdose, right as Sublime was finally being recognized by the world as a great up-and-coming band.
So, I think I've managed to beat Mike Shanahan's draft results into the ground in my first two installments, which you can find here and here. If not, then this post should surely do the trick. First, we looked at Shanny's Drafts year by year, then by player position. Now, let's take a gander at his performance in each round of the draft and see if anything interesting pops up. Really, this should be the least informative and most unsurprising of studies - logic would say that each round is a mixed bag, filled with smashing successes, busts and others in between. Also, you would expect each round to get progressively more of a crap shoot and yield poorer results. Well, at least I would. Yet while that is mostly the case, there is a surprise or two to come...
"…pick of the draft, the 325 lb. DE from football powerhouse Stillman, Sammie Lee Hill!"
You bet. In an innovation that worked beyond their hopes, Greg Thompson, head coach of the Stillman football program, spoke to Dennis Conner, his OC, and they decided to try something new on defense. Their answer was Sammie Lee Hill, a very big, very versatile player with a lot of skills.
One good reason that the Cardinals are in the Super Bowl is that a few years ago Dennis Green chose an interesting strategy for the draft. He and his staff make a list of the top 140 players in the draft and placed them in descending order. Any time a player was drafted they drew a line through him and moved on. When it was their turn, they took the player at the top of the list. No matter what strategy you espouse, this one worked out well for Arizona.
Although there is a new regime in town, and the best (and most exciting) part of Draftivus is looking forward, I find that occasionally turning our glance towards the past to be quite informative. Last week, I looked into Mike Shanahan's draft history with the Broncos, comparing each draft class by the numbers. This time, I'll break it down by player position. What I hope to accomplish here is to confirm some long-held opinions and maybe even debunk a myth or two. I learned quite a few interesting facts while researching Shanny's drafts, and I hope you find them fascinating as well. Now that Shanny's gone, I figure it's a good time to analyze his drafts. Obviously, his more recent classes need some more time to prove/disprove themselves, so perhaps this study would be most effective a few years down the line - but I figure that since the body's still warm, now's the time! After all, hopefully a McD-led Championship or two will make us forget the horrific 2003 and 2004 Drafts.
This seems to be the time of year when we all disagree. This recurring feature I've been writing has been inviting lots of disagreement, which, since I am writing my opinions, is a good thing.
Factions emerge each re-loading season, around free agents and potential draftees, and whether or not ANY free agents should even be signed. This year, we also had a coaching search to disagree on, and presently what looks pretty clearly to be an impending defensive scheme change to disagree on. Disagreeing is fine, and it's healthy. We can all learn from each other, through the course of disagreeing. Let's all remember to disagree positively, though, as that is what separates us at MHR from the cretins at other sites. We all have opinions, and we should all respect each other, because in the end we all want what is best for the Broncos.
What happens after an injury?
With the hirings of Ed Donatell, Wayne Nunnely and Don Martindale, this is where we are to date:
Broncoman's post about the Broncos and their drafts under Mike Shanahan really got me thinking - I certainly appreciate his analysis, but I think judging draft success by Pro Bowls is a bit too narrow. I think the real way to find the effectiveness is through games played. However, that in itself will be very difficult to manage - where is the cutoff for a good player or one who matters? Does a player need to be a starter? Does he need to play in 10 games a year to count? I'm not really sure what the answers are to those questions...so I came up with something else after looking at pro-football-reference.com
It's another week, and that can only mean one thing. Time for more Shallow Thoughts & Nearsighted Observations. Yay!!!!