The Sports Guy's Thursday NFL Pick
What happens if Denver falls behind? How will it make up the points? How will it score in this game, period? And shouldn’t it matter that a pretty good Jets team is coming off an embarrassing loss and can’t possibly afford to fall to 5-5 right now? May God and Tebow both forgive me …
Plus, Pat Kirwan discusses the matchup for CBS Sports, and he predicts a late comeback victory for the Jets.
Enjoy the game, everyone - and Go Broncos! RB Willis McGahee is active tonight, while the inactives are WR Quan Cosby, S Rafael Bush, FB Quinn Johnson, G Manny Ramirez, TE Julius Thomas, OT Tony Hills and DE Derrick Harvey. The absence of Cosby means that Eddie Royal is likely to handle the PR duties, with Eric Decker also available for returns. The other surprise is Orange Julius, who had been listed as probable with an ankle injury. For the Jets, WR Jeremy Kerley, RB LaDainian Tomlinson, S Brodney Pool, TE Shawn Nelson, CB Ellis Lankster, QB Kevin O'Connell and DT Martin Tevaseu.
Denver’s cautious approach to Willis McGahee’s injured left hamstring has paid off, as a league source said Thursday that the Broncos’ running back will play against the New York Jets, barring a setback in warm ups prior to kickoff.
Plus, pregame thoughts from Andrew Mason.
Jets-Broncos Thursday night betting primer
The Jets will probably get bet late, so we’ll most likely need the Broncos by game time. I can see the game getting bet under, too…In regards to traveling across the country on short rest, I don’t know if playing on a Sunday night means anything for the Jets, because they’re in a situation right now where wins are very crucial. You have to come back and be fully motivated to play.
The Broncos and Jets open Week 11 tonight, and the rest of the country will get its first look at Tim Tebow as a starting NFL QB. What will they get? Three yards and a cloud of dust from both teams, with the defenses and punters as the stars of the show? Or will Sexy Rexy's defense dare Tebow to air it out and find a willing adversary? Some are suggesting that Rexy's D won't allow the Broncos to run the ball with any sort of success, while the extra-short week (the Jets played Sunday night) and travel across two time zones and up to altitude could help to level any talent deficit Denver may be facing. Let's see if the Stats That Don't Lie will offer any hints:
Tanier: Forget the platitudes, Tebow's going to fail
Can the Broncos win with almost no passing game? Is the option a viable NFL offense? Were we wrong to bury Tebow after his embarrassing effort against the Lions? Has Tebow’s running ability changed the way pro football will be played? The answers are no, no, absolutely not, and get serious…What their offense is doing, with the exception of the Raiders game, is scoring 17-18 points against awful opponents and getting blown out by good ones…Tim Tebow is truly a one-of-a-kind quarterback. He’s Benjamin Button. He is going in the wrong direction, not blazing a new path.
By now, most of you have noticed Prime Cuts, our new link blog. We wanted to serve up some quick news items throughout the day, sometimes with commentary, sometimes not. We've made each source clear for those wondering where we might be linking to.
Today we've started including Prime Cuts in our Twitter feed.
Also, if you're looking to skip over Prime Cuts you'll notice the recent entries list on the right side of the site. Those will only show our original pieces of content. There will be a menu item for that shortly.
Tonight's game should be fascinating if speculation about Denver seeing a Cover 0 from the Jets is true.
The thinking is that in order to stop the Broncos' running attack, Rex Ryan is going to go to the Cover 0 more often than not.
If that's the case, it won't be boring. Exciting football is dangerous football, in which the defense operates on the razor's edge of risk and reward.
The Cover Zero says, Throw at us, we dare you.
Let's take a quick peek at what it looks like:
Q&A with NFL Network's Mike Mayock
What I’m fascinated by is not the ability of Von Miller, because you could see that coming out of college, but I really like the creative ways they use him to get him in one-on-one situations…NFL defensive coordinators absolutely hate the option game. They don’t usually have to deal with it. They can’t stand it…Right now, I think Denver is the wild card (in the AFC West)...I think they’re playing with house money right now, and that’s always a dangerous position.
Three to Focus On: Jets @ Broncos, Week 11
When a team runs the ball 55 times and attempts just eight passes and still wins, it’s fair to wonder if teams are taking them very seriously despite their success…If the Broncos come away with a win here, it’s a safe bet that opposing defenses will absolutely be taking them seriously in the future… The Broncos have generated little pressure outside of Miller, but his play has ascended to another level the past two games and Miller’s teammates began feeding off his efforts last week. For the Broncos to upset the Jets, they could use another productive game in the pass rush department…The Jets’ secondary certainly has the skill and experience to handle Denver’s receivers, but no matter how good a defense is, it’s hard not to sell out against the run when you’re certain it’s coming every down.