The Daily Lard 8-22-11

Good Morning, Broncos fans! Andrew Mason thinks it's a virtual certainty that Rahim Moore will be fined by the NFL for his devastating hit Saturday night on Bills WR Donald Jones. Mason cites the movement of Jones' helmet upon impact, and says Moore "launched himself" into the hit as his reasoning. Honestly, I have watched this hit probably 25 times, and I still don't see a problem with Moore's action there. Not only was he completely upright, but he did not leave his feet, and he even turned his head away as he delivered the blow with his right shoulder. I'll agree with Mason in that Moore's helmet did contact that of Jones, but he did not lower or lead with it.

Who knows - maybe Steelers fans have these very same sentiments after watching James Harrison's hits, and I'm just being a homer. Either way, it appears Moore himself has a good perspective on the physicality of his position - he doesn't intend to hurt anyone, he hopes Jones is okay, and he will continue to play aggressively and physically. Sounds good...

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Chewing the Fat: Preseason - Broncos vs Bills

The IAOFM staff discuss the Denver Broncos' 24-10 preseason victory over the Buffalo Bills

Doc: So, Marcell Dareus said he would make the Broncos pay for not drafting him. Any thoughts?

TJ: Baxter McLove thinks its bunk. Well, it will be interesting to see how they do against a 3-4 - not that they really practiced the Buffalo scheme this week I'm sure - they're still trying to implement their own.

Ted: It's a pretty good front 3. I want to see Walton against Kyle Williams.  It will be a good indicator of his growth. UGH I can't stand Verne Lundquist. Coloradans get pissed at me when I say that, because he's one of their own. But he's just awful

TJ: Heresy, Ted - how dare you! They are falling all over themselves on the broadcast for whatever reason, like he's Curt Gowdy. At least I have Griese on the radio, and I can turn this crap down.

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The Daily Lard 8-21-11

Good Morning, Broncos fans! Last night was another encouraging one, and not just because of the 24-10 final score (box) in Denver's favor. On offense, both Kyle Orton and Brady Quinn were quite sharp and efficient, Knowshon Moreno ran well, and all of the backs were effective weapons within the passing game. Mike McCoy attacked the Bills' defense all night long with his play calling, and John Fox even went for it on 4th-and-1 in plus territory (Don't get too excited - Fox only went for it 111 times in 9 seasons in Carolina, and 43 of those instances came during the past two years when the Panthers won a combined 10 games. Bill Belichick has gone for it 161 times during that same 9-year period.)

Now if you are looking for something to be excited about, Denver's pass rush was exceptional - harrassing the Buffalo QBs all night long. Even if they only had one sack and one takeaway, the defense held the Bills to just 21 of 40 for 188 yards of net passing. Von Miller, Elvis Dumervil and Brodrick Bunkley brought tons of pressure, Cassius Vaughn was stellar in coverage, and Britton Colquitt lived up to his family name in a big way. Reason for concern? As TJ mentioned in the Gut Reactions, the Broncos' defense was quite vulnerable to screen plays. But overall, it was a very good night for the Broncos, even if they were only playing the Bills.

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Gut Reaction: Preseason Week 2 - Broncos vs Bills

Marcell Dareus wanted to make the Broncos pay for not taking him with the second-overall pick in April.

Perhaps another day, big guy.

Tonight, it was Von Miller who brought the punishment.  Miller showed why he's been compared to Derrick Thomas.  His first step is supersonic.

He broke the speed of sound (and the ankles of the right tackle) several times tonight in the Broncos' 24-10 victory over the Bills.

Both Miller and the missile known as Rahim Moore made it clear that the Broncos did not miss with their first two draft picks.  They were part of a defense that, for the second straight week, kept the opposing offense from doing any noticeable damage.

This defense--even without Ty Warren--will make things interesting this season.  If they can get to third down quickly, they might even be more than interesting.

They might be finger-licking good.

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Open Thread - Preseason Broncos vs Bills

Enjoy the game everyone, and Go Broncos!

Fat Guys In Cleats with Baxter McLove - Preseason Week 2

The Fat Man readers have spoken.  Baxter McLove doesn't suck.  

At least, he doesn't suck that bad.

The overwhelming support he received last week was a pleasant surprise.

As always at Fat Man, we try to inform, keep things light, and suck a little less each day.

So we decided to keep him.   Here's another addition of Fat Guys in Cleats.

Enjoy it, and tonight's game!

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The Daily Lard 8-20-11

Good Morning, Broncos fans! Woody Paige says the QB competition is officially over, and that there is nothing either Tim Tebow or Brady Quinn can do to supplant Kyle Orton as the starter at this point. However, Woodrow believes that eventually Tebow will take over the starting job, albeit again late in the year - his guess is December 11 when the Bears and Jay Cutler come to town.

Meanwhile, Mike Klis says to expect Orton and the other first-teamers to play most if not all of the first half, and he and Andrew Mason both point out that John Fox has not announced which QB will follow Orton tonight. Now while there may be uncertainty surrounding the QB rotation tonight, you can count on this - TJ will be bringing a double-whammy of Baxter McLove during the day and his Gut Reactions once the game is over, and as always we'll have an open thread during the game and a Chewing the Fat tomorrow.

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Pregame Thoughts: Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos

Happy Friday, friends.  With Game 2 of the preseason happening tomorrow night, I decided to share some thoughts on what I’ll be looking for in the game.  I think we learned some stuff in Game 1, at least at a cursory level, and that we’ll have a good opportunity to learn and evaluate more tomorrow.

1.  Does personnel grouping on offense still seem to follow the QB?  Last week, Kyle Orton played with a lot of 21 and 22 personnel, while Tim Tebow had a lot of 11 personnel, and Brady Quinn had a lot of 12 personnel.  It will be interesting to see if those concepts continue.

The implications are that when Orton is on the field, the offensive staff sees itself as a running/play action operation, and that to some extent, Quinn follows that.  Tebow’s typical package places more of a premium on spreading out the defense with the formation, ostensibly to create running lanes for Tebow, and angles for the kinds of throws that he makes the best.

Tebow has a different skill-set than Orton or Quinn, so it’s no surprise that they’d have different play-calling.  I wonder if this recent media push to claim that Quinn is #2 stems from thinking within the coaching staff that any in-game change at the position is best handled by a player who is more well-suited to running the same game plan as the starter.  In that case, I could still see Tebow getting some snaps in games using specialty packages, even as the nominal #3 QB, while Quinn sits behind Orton, waiting for an injury or ineffectiveness in a game.

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The Daily Lard 8-19-11

Happy Friday, Broncos fans! Hmm. Now that The Professor has floated nationally the thought that Brady Quinn may function as the Broncos' #2 QB heading into the season rather than Tim Tebow, the local scribes figure it's safe to do the same. In fact, Mike Klis and Jeff Legwold are concurrently doing so today, not that we can blame them for wanting to share the spreading of that message. After all, even if it's the truth (at this point, why isn't it to be believed - this probably comes from the top), anyone who writes such a story is going to face the flaming wrath of Tebow's most ardent fans, right?

Legwold cleverly snuck this notion in while responding to a question of whether the Broncos would trade a QB for a DT in light of the recent injuries to Ty Warren and Marcus Thomas, while Klis makes his all about the vast progress Quinn has apparently made since a year ago. But as much as we love to bash these reporters when they try to become analysts, this Quinn as #2 QB storyline is not so much opinion as it is what appears to be the front office putting the word out as gently as they know how. Now, let's see how things go tomorrow night...

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Does ESPN’s Total Quarterback Rating correlate to winning?

By now everyone has weighed in on ESPN's new Total Quarterback Rating (TQR) metric.  

Most of the critiques have centered on the following perceived shortcomings of the model:

  1. The Clutch Index.  In short, can one really measure clutchness?
  2. The proprietary nature of the model.  In short, only ESPN knows what goes into the recipe.
  3. The dividing of credit.  In short, we rely on ESPN's video reviewers to tell us how much credit a quarterback contributed to each play.

Since I waited two fulls weeks to react, I didn't want to beat the same drums.  Better stats people than I had already contributed to these discussions. 

Instead, I decided to take a different angle altogether.  I simply decided to look and see if TQR correlated to winning.

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