Two-Point Conversion in the KC-DEN game
The difference in terms of absolute WP between the XP and the conversion attempt was only 1.2 percentage points. You might think that’s tiny, and in the grand scheme you’d be right. But coaches stay up watching film until their eyes bleed, looking for every last 0.1% edge. It’s not a good idea to toss away a percentage point here and a percentage point there.
Of course, the real problem here was that John Fox chose to kick from the two-yard line rather than go for the jugular.
TJ disagrees, but I'd rather give Peyton Manning a chance to seal the game right there. Even if he fails, the Chiefs are then looking at 98 yards to win (they still would have needed a touchdown, unless they'd gone for two earlier, as Burke suggests).
From Keith Goldner at Advanced Football Analytics:
Last, the fact that John Fox did not use any timeouts on the Chiefs' last drive of the game is flummoxing. Kansas City had a 1st-and-Goal from the nine, down seven points with 1:45 left in the game. The only way that drive lasts longer than four plays is if there is an automatic first down penalty.
According to Troy Renck, linebackers Von Miller (groin) and Lerentee McCray (knee) are expected to play at Seattle on Sunday.
Per Renck, John Fox offered no official update on the players' injuries.
Once again, the NFL's new drug policy is said to be just a day away, with Wes Welker's reinstatement to follow.
According to Adam Schefter and Chris Mortensen, the new policy is expected to be approved by the NFL within the next 24 hours.
Mike Tanier's Monday Morning Hangover: Requiem for RG3
There is a much more fundamental problem. Griffin does not look like a great athlete anymore. He jerked and stumbled like a newborn colt on that fateful scramble.
Just two years ago, Shanny was back, and he'd finally found his next great quarterback, or so the story went.
It's amazing how quickly and dramatically fortunes turn in the NFL.
It was a dramatic Sunday for a trio of former Denver offensive stars.
Knowshon Moreno, who ran over the Patriots in helping the Dolphins to a huge Week 1 upset, suffered a dislocated elbow at Buffalo yesterday.
The injury occurred on Knowshon's first carry and only of the game, and will reportedly keep him out of four games.
New York Jets' bonehead timeout wipes out game-tying touchdown
But as the officials in the end zone were signaling touchdown, the officials up the field were blowing the play dead. Unbeknownst to most of the players, coaches and viewing audience, Jets offensive coordinator Marty Mornhinweg had been running down the sideline before Smith took the snap, furiously asking for the team’s final timeout.
According to Jeff Legwold, linebacker Lerentee McCray will undergo an MRI for a right knee injury that may cost him "some time," whatever that means.
Von Miller sat out the Chiefs' final drive with a groin injury, and will be evaluated on Monday.
It’s one thing to say you want to keep Peyton Manning off the field and control the clock.
It’s an entirely different thing to actually get it done.
Give the Chiefs credit. They barely gave the Broncos the ball in the second half, and they converted a ton of long third downs.
It got so bad, John Fox later joked his defense was operating as a “ball-control” defense.
San Diego (1-1) remained a game behind Denver in unlikely fashion, thumping the visiting Seahawks 30-21.
Philip Rivers threw three touchdown passes to Antonio Gates, and the Chargers dominated possession by holding the ball for 42:15.