The improbability of Tim Tebow's streak
Multiplying out the Broncos’ lowest chances in each game of the win streak, Denver’s probability to win all six games was 0.0007 percent, approximately one in 137,000. The odds are better that a flipped coin comes up heads 17 consecutive times.
That microscopic number doesn’t even consider Denver’s most unlikely comeback, which came in Tebow’s first start of the season. With 5:50 remaining in Miami, the Dolphins led 15-0 and had 1st-and-10 from their own 33-yard line. At this point, the Broncos’ win probability was only 1.9 percent.
I flipped a coin once and it landed on heads twenty times in a row. Of course, it was a double-sided coin.
Keep trying, math geeks. It gets funnier each week--especially when you apply the point of "lowest" probability each time for full effect.
TIM TEBOW'S PASTOR God Is Saving the Broncos
Pastor Wayne Hanson—who runs Summit Church in Castle Rock, CO where Tim’s dad often speaks—tells TMZ God is actively intervening in Denver Broncos football games ... and aiding Tim on the field because of his strong faith. Hanson tells us, “It’s not luck. Luck isn’t winning 6 games in a row. It’s favor. God’s favor.” We asked Hanson if Tebow would be winning games if he wasn’t such a strong believer—and the pastor replied, “No, of course not.”
Pastor Wayne Hanson, you are a #$@!ing imbecile.
Thank God we didn't have Pastor Wayne around when Muhammad Ali was winning boxing matches. I'm sure he'd have one hell of a quote ready for us all.
Just when I thought it was safe to talk about Tim Tebow the football player and humanitarian.
God Bless, Wayne Hanson. You obviously need it (1 Corinthians 13: 4-7).
PETER TEBOW TEBOWS ABOUT TEBOW’S TEBOW-GAME TEBOWICS, AND OTHER TEBOWNERDNESS
Tebow. TEE-bow. Verb. To defeat an opponent while overcoming a major impediment.
In this case, the impediment being 7,000 credentials media members storming onto the field to get a signed glove from their new crush.
Tebow, in the fourth quarter and overtime: 18 of 24, 191 yards, one touchdown, no picks. His late-game heroics — there’s really no logical explanation.
Other than that HE PLAYS VERY WELL LATE IN GAMES. That’s an actual, real-world explanation, and it fits all the symptoms of TEBOWMANIA OF TEBOWVILLE. But no, be the lazy kind of $@#%head who just throws his hands up and is like, “You can’t explain this kind of stuff! I’m not saying it’s the hand of Jesus at work, but let’s just assume it is because that’s fun!”
Tim Tebow - "All He Does Is Win"
DJ Steve Porter mashes up First Take’s Skip Bayless to create the ultimate Tim Tebow tribute…“All He Does Is Win”
If Tebow has the power to make Skip Bayless a popular figure in Denver, maybe there really is something to all of this... (h/t magster)
Leading Off: Comebacks Are All in the Believing
Eli Manning would not be king of a saved Giants season had Jason Pierre-Paul not blocked a field goal attempt in the final second that would have sent the Cowboys to overtime, and Tim Tebow would not be doing another victory/prayer lap had Matt Prater not kicked a 59-yarder to get the Broncos to overtime. But then, maybe those things happened precisely because of Manning and Tebow. Comebacks, you see, are all in the believing. This is what the Broncos and the Giants each have: a quarterback they totally, unfailingly, devotedly believe in. It’s the magic quality that the best ones have, the thing you can’t discover in a scouting combine or measure with statistics. Manning and Tebow might have nothing else in common other than their position, but they’ve got that.
A few weeks ago, I was talking with a high-level NFL executive who told me, based on talking directly with the Broncos, that the team’s original plan was to play Tebow a few weeks for the fans, and then start with the rebuilding process. Tebow was former coach Josh McDaniels’ pick and the Broncos, according to this executive, wanted to move on…Each week, Tebow has done more in the passing game to prove that he can lead a team to victory with more than just his feet. And Sunday’s performance had to seal his fate as the Broncos quarterback for 2012 and on.
I also found it interesting that Lombardi is the lone voice stating that Chicago did the right thing in softening their defense late yesterday:
The last thing the Bears wanted to have happen was what happened to the Jets, when Tebow broke containment, and ran untouched to the end zone as the defenders were covering their own man, not watching Tebow.
I'd agree with Lombardi as far as the game-tying drive goes, but not the prior one where the Bears held a 10-point advantage.
'Tebowing' becomes officially recognized as a word
It appears “Tebowing” is here to stay. The Global Language Monitor website says it acknowledges that the word Tebowing—the act of taking a knee in prayer during an athletic contest—is now part of the English language. In today’s online world, that’s practically the equivalent of gaining acceptance to Webster’s Dictionary.
I can't actually find this on the GLM website, but who cares? Let's go with it - Tebowing, now a real word! (h/t LBS)
Update 3:23pm ET - As it turns out, this is in fact a bunch of hogwash.
Passing Around the Blame in Dallas
It’s also worth noting that, for whatever weaknesses he has as a passer, Tebow is playing with arguably the worst group of receivers in football…In fact, Tebow’s begun to turn the corner from gimmick quarterback to something resembling a legitimate NFL passer…Tebow is getting better at improvising when plays break down as he develops a rapport with his receivers, and as those bonds get stronger, he should be even more improved when he gets out of the pocket…As bad as his receivers are, secondaries can’t cover them for eight or nine seconds while also worrying about the possibility of a Tebow scramble…Tebow deserves a ton of credit for the drives he pulled off after those two Barber mistakes, but as a team, Denver was handed two miracles that had nothing to do with Tebow whatsoever.
Merril Hoge - Mike and Mike in the Morning
“My analyst’s eyes have been clouded.”
“I’ve been wrong on a lot of levels with him. I’ve lost the ability…the opportunity…to shed some light on what an amazing story on..how he’s worked persevered…all those things that you try to teach young people.”
“I’m become now a huge fan in watching the Broncos play and Tim Tebow play.”
I thought Hoge was going to get emotional early in this interview. He's clearly switched sides on this "Tebow thing."
'ppreciate it, Merril. Seriously, though, listen to the first part of this interview when Hoge talks about his own life. I enjoyed it, no matter his opinion of Tebow.
The Handshake Haley Era is over in Kansas City, as the Chiefs have fired him after the 37-14 beatdown suffered at the hands of the Jets yesterday. Haley's Chiefs were 19-27 during his tumultuous tenure, winning the AFC West last season but losing to Baltimore in the first round of the playoffs. Let the Josh McDaniels speculation begin in earnest...
Meanwhile, word out of Miami is that Tony Sparano will be canned at the end of the season, but GM Jeff Ireland will be spared.