Good Afternoon, Broncos fans! Pending NFLPA approval, the trade deadline will be moved this year from its traditional post-Week 6 spot after to after the conclusion of Week 8's games.
As Bill Polian tells Peter King in today's MMQB, had this shift happened last year, the momentous changes of the past offseason may not have come to pass for the Colts and Broncos.
Polian says that had the trade deadline been after Week 8 in 2011, the Colts would have offered Denver a third-round pick in exchange for Kyle Orton. A Broncos source tells PK the team would have gladly accepted the compensation, and if Orton had led the Colts to a better finish than did Curtis Painter and Dan Orlovsky, then Peyton Manning would theoritically still be a Colt.
Good Morning, Broncos fans! According to Lindsay Jones, Kevin Vickerson put a whopping 49 extra pounds onto his frame this offseason, bringing him up to 324 from his 2011 playing weight of 275. Big Vick had dropped around 20 pounds to get to that weight, but admittedly struggled last year before an ankle injury ended his season after Denver's Week 5 loss to San Diego.
Incredibly, Vickerson's substantial weight gain has been accompanied by a drop in his body fat from 37-40% all the way down to 24%. The pay cut accepted by the sixth-year player brings his 2012 salary down to $1.2M from $2.25M.
New York--In a shocking move this weekend, lawyers for Jesus H. Christ have sent a cease and desist letter to Tim Tebow, who they claim is illegally using the name of the Son of God to sell products indirectly.
Tebow, the former Heisman Trophy winner, is well known for his exploits on the football field. In college he won two NCAA Championships with the University of Florida. Last year with the Denver Broncos he helped the team make an improbable run to the AFC playoffs. It's Tebow's supposed exploitation of Christ, though, that has Christ's lawyers up in arms. They believe Jesus gives Tebow his distinct brand. Without him, they say, Tebow wouldn't be selling underwear, sports drinks, or shoes made by Indonesian teenagers.
"Mr. Tebow," reads one part of the letter, "Your brand, to a significant degree, depends on millions of Evangelical Christians who have an unhealthy emotional attachment to your success. Through your incessant use of our client's name in post-game interviews without his expressed written permission and your relentless and repetitive public displays of overt invocation in the name of our client--this has recently been described publicly as "Tebowing"--you have contrived an image that, for all intents and purposes, mistakenly gives the impression that our client endorses you; in turn, and through implication, this impression has allowed you to profit extensively through contracts with FRS Healthy Performance, EA Sports, Nike, and Jockey, among others. Our client, in fact, neither endorses these products nor your behavior. Further, our client specificly abhors ads similar to that in which you are shirtless, shoeless, and frolicking in a field with a mustang."
Good Morning, Broncos fans! Many of you have been with us from our modest beginnings, and some even know us from our earlier days at MHR. Of course, we are grateful to all of you for your continued readership, and for the new readers we've gained over the past twenty months or so.
Over that time, we have received many requests for access to older material, and we've hinted at providing it in the past. It's time we finally honor those requests by making that prior content available, including most of our pre-Fat Man writing and Ted's work on One Man Football. Unfortunately, his Smarter Fans columns have been lost to the ether.
Our archives will be evolving as we figure out more intuitive and thorough ways of organizing them, but for now our guess is the Fat Camp, Broncography and Mail Revue sections will be most appreciated. As always, TJ (Mark it Zero), Doc (Doc's Musings), and Ted's (Ted's Analysis) work can be found under the parenthesized headers. Happy reading, friends!
Update: For technical reasons, we've had to remove the "Archives" moniker, but the content is all there for viewing. As mentioned, we'll gradually make this all easier to navigate.
Depending on who you ask, there are 4-5 different “premium positions” in the NFL. Everybody would agree that Quarterback is on the list, and most would say Left Tackle and Right-side Pass Rusher. Many people say Cornerback, and I would say Run-Stuffing Defensive Tackle is premium as well. What makes those premium positions, though? Have you ever thought about that?
I would say that the primary reason those positions are held in such high regard is that the athletic skill sets which are required to be an elite player at them are difficult to find. It’s a function of resource scarcity, and not necessarily of on-field importance, in other words.
If I want to run a Cover-2 scheme, I don’t need CBs with elite man-to-man coverage ability, so I wouldn’t place a premium on those skills. If I always have the lead in games, maybe I care a bit less about stopping the run. The last six Super Bowls have been won by teams with below-average LTs (Marvel Smith, Tarik Glenn, David Diehl, Max Starks, Jermon Bushrod, Chad Clifton, and Diehl again). The evidence would indicate that you don’t necessarily need a great player at that position.
Happy Friday, Broncos fans! Now that it's okay to be honest about it, Mark Kiszla says the Broncos are better off sans Tebowmania, and do you see the position of that ball? Just, wow. Kiz observes that the chatter in Denver is about actual football rather than who's not dating whom. But since the Broncos' first OTA wrapped up on Wednesday, what else is there to talk about than young Teebs?
Timmy threw two picks when he should have checked down (sound familiar?) and worked as a punt protector yesterday during the open session of the Jets' OTA. After practice, the crisper Mark Sanchez conversed with Jets brass, while Tebow worked to maintain the polish on his image with the PR guy.
In other Tebow-related news, Olympian Lolo Jones says she still has her V card, prompting Timmy's Jets mates to suggest a potential love match; plus, Snoop Dogg Tebowed after throwing out the first pitch at Comiskey.
A particular segment of Andy Benoit's NYT column from Tuesday on Ryan Clady caught my eye:
Unfortunately, offensive linemen have no other statistics. Sure, there are the little-known rushing stats by field lane (the Broncos when running left last season had 67 power runs, 22 runs of 10-plus yards and 19 negative plays, which are solid all-around numbers), but those are vague and often misleading. For example, a lot of runs to the left are set up by a right guard’s pull block. How is that depicted in the stats?
Many football statistics are circumstantial and/or influenced by a multitude of factors. What’s important is to trust how a player – especially an offensive lineman – looks on film and make that the backbone of evaluation. Because this is what quality front offices do, don’t be surprised if Denver’s “mistake-prone” left tackle soon becomes one of the highest-paid players at his position.
It’s a good point. I do base my evaluation of Clady on film, and here’s what I found:
2012 NFL season over/under win totals released: AFC analysis
Denver Broncos, 9.5 wins
Over (-110) / Under (-120): Perhaps the most interesting over/under of any team in the NFL, the Broncos are getting much more attention this offseason than last. It’s easy to assume that new quarterback Peyton Manning will automatically get this team 10 wins; that’s about what he was good for with the Colts. Cantor Sportsbook director Mike Colbert told Covers.com he doesn’t think the Broncos will nine games. Will Manning be healthy? Will his weapons be ready? Can the defense hold up? If all those answers are “yes,” the over is a nice bet. Verdict: OVER
Two weeks ago, Cantor released lines for the first 16 weeks of the regular season, with Denver favored in seven games and three games listed as a pick'em. (h/t to reader Orange_and_Blue for nailing the over/under)
As will be the overarching theme for months (years?) to come, expectations have been raised with the addition of Peyton Manning. The other main commonality of the four players' comments was a discussion of their body weight, with Elvis (250, down 10) and Demaryius (228, down from 232, aiming for 222) shedding the pounds to increase endurance and maintain health. Thomas took on yoga during the offseason to help.
Doom says he's looking to cut down on processed foods, a societal problem one might not expect to find among professional athletes. Yet, a quick glance at players' Twitter feeds shows otherwise, and even in a post-Shannon Sharpe NFL, the guys who cook for themselves and/or employ nutritionists and/or personal chefs appear to be the exceptions more than the rule.
Although John Elway said prior to the draft that Denver's roster had more strength at defensive tackle than people were aware, the team still used its first draft pick (early in the second round) to take Derek Wolfe, a penetrating, one-gap defensive under tackle. As usual, actions speak louder than words, and the Broncos weren’t quite in the shape at DT they wanted other people to believe them to be. That’s especially normal in the leadup to the draft - you never show your hand. As with most politicians, you can tell if the front office is lying by whether or not their lips are moving.
But the issues facing the Broncos defense go far beyond just the line. Within the draft, the Broncos addressed both defensive end (via the addition of Malik Jackson) and off tackle, via Wolfe. They also added a potential weakside linebacker who has a history of getting to the quarterback in tackling monster Danny Trevathan. With veteran linebacker D.J. Williams facing a six-game suspension for allegedly violating the league's PED policy (plus a DUI trial), there will be a competition to see who can obtain the downs that Williams will be missing. Adding another linebacker with penetrating skills should improve the overall quality of the front seven, and that’s who Denver chose with their last pick, in Trevathan. As a sixth-round pick he will have to show that he can handle the rigors of the NFL, but he has a history of getting to the QB, too.