Tonight's game should be fascinating if speculation about Denver seeing a Cover 0 from the Jets is true.
The thinking is that in order to stop the Broncos' running attack, Rex Ryan is going to go to the Cover 0 more often than not.
If that's the case, it won't be boring. Exciting football is dangerous football, in which the defense operates on the razor's edge of risk and reward.
The Cover Zero says, Throw at us, we dare you.
Let's take a quick peek at what it looks like:
Q&A with NFL Network's Mike Mayock
What I’m fascinated by is not the ability of Von Miller, because you could see that coming out of college, but I really like the creative ways they use him to get him in one-on-one situations…NFL defensive coordinators absolutely hate the option game. They don’t usually have to deal with it. They can’t stand it…Right now, I think Denver is the wild card (in the AFC West)...I think they’re playing with house money right now, and that’s always a dangerous position.
Three to Focus On: Jets @ Broncos, Week 11
When a team runs the ball 55 times and attempts just eight passes and still wins, it’s fair to wonder if teams are taking them very seriously despite their success…If the Broncos come away with a win here, it’s a safe bet that opposing defenses will absolutely be taking them seriously in the future… The Broncos have generated little pressure outside of Miller, but his play has ascended to another level the past two games and Miller’s teammates began feeding off his efforts last week. For the Broncos to upset the Jets, they could use another productive game in the pass rush department…The Jets’ secondary certainly has the skill and experience to handle Denver’s receivers, but no matter how good a defense is, it’s hard not to sell out against the run when you’re certain it’s coming every down.
Analysis Notebook: Week 10
Whatever you think about Tim Tebow as an NFL quarterback / media circus, you can’t deny it’s great to watch the Broncos break out a college offense for him to run against the Chiefs…This is a far cry from the complex reads NFL quarterbacks are expected to master and it is rarely used much at this level because it converts the quarterback into just another ball carrier, one open to all the full-force hits like any other runner. In short, you’re paying your quarterback far too much money to expose him to that kind of beating on a regular basis, but Tim Tebow is something of a different player, isn’t he?
Analyzing NFL running games through 10 weeks
As teams — and by extension, their opponents — become more prolific at passing, the opportunity cost of not passing increases…The Falcons and Broncos have been surprisingly difficult to run on in 2011. In Denver, rookie of the year candidate Von Miller has been an absolute monster not just at getting to the quarterback but at frustrating opposing running games.
Is Tebow a legitimate (triple) option?
Can Tebow succeed in the NFL running the option?...He is a big, tough runner who does not turn the ball over, can use the option’s leverage to exploit overly aggressive pass-rushing defenses, and can withstand the physical pounding that accompanies the life of any person brave enough to regularly run the ball in the NFL…Tebow’s productive career might not last much longer than Mark Stevens’ career.But the QuantCoach has seen enough in the last two weeks to predict that, using the leverage derived from his unconventional option, Tebow will deliver the 2011 AFC West title to Denver.
Good Morning, Broncos fans! Greg Cosell was likely speculating when he suggested during his weekly podcast with Doug Farrar that Rex Ryan's Jets might keep nine men in the box and run Cover-0 with Darrelle Revis and OctoDad. Because as Ryan Wilson pointed out in a post yesterday, Sexy Rexy's book Coaching Football's 46 Defense has an entire chapter devoted to defending the option, and as part of the lead-in to the chapter, he writes:
As a DC, you should avoid rigging a "special" defensive plan versus the option. Every defensive scheme can be manipulated to meet the demands of stopping an explosive option attack. Generally, it is a bad idea and an unsound premise to structure a special defense for the option. With the 46 pressure defense, you don't need a special plan or a gimmick, you only need practice at the sound strategies available inside the package...The 46 allows you to plan various strategies to attack the option. These looks are accomplished through varying the individual responsibilities of your perimeter and second-level players...Just as the DE can be assigned different responsiblities, so can the free safety and linebacker.
I think you get the picture, but if not then sign into your Amazon account, click on Search inside this book, submit option and you'll find that Rexy devotes more than eight pages to the weakside option. Hopefully Mike McCoy or one of his assistants brushed up on this chapter, because frankly they'll need some creative wrinkles to outscheme a guy who literally wrote a book on defense. Either that, or they'll need to have superior personnel or out-execute the Jets defense, which is tied with Denver for eighth-best in terms of yards per rush allowed. Which one do you think the Broncos are counting on accomplishing?
Jets must take away Tebow's options
I think if you had a chance to spend some time with Tebow, you would see what I’ve seen. I’m telling you, there’s something special about this player. He has an aura, a special presence, if you will. I was in Denver a few weeks ago and did an interview with Tebow for the NFL on FOX pregame show. I talked to a few of his teammates, and it was really interesting what Champ Bailey told me. Bailey’s a guy who has been in the league for 13 years, and he told me that Tebow has this enthusiasm that makes you want to play harder, makes you want to win. He said Tebow’s positive attitude was contagious.
Lynch has made similar statements before, but it's worth repeating: Champ Bailey says he plays harder for Tebow.
I'm generally a skeptic of statements like this because they imply somehow that Bailey didn't play as hard for, say, Jake Plummer.
Then I think about Jay Cutler. Was his positive attitude contagious?
Oops, I did it again. I managed to take a swipe at Jay Cutler. But I also warmed to the idea that Tebow brings something to the table.
Two birds. One stone. And that's how you blog, my friends.
Broncos' Tim Tebow not judging fans with Jesus jerseys
“I don’t know what to think about that because I don’t know where people’s hearts are,” Tebow said today. “It’s important to not judge without knowing their hearts. If their heart is to honor the Lord, then it’s a good thing. Only God can judge because only God knows what’s truly in a person’s heart.”
They said I couldn't win a Heisman.
They said I couldn't be a 1st-round draft pick.
They said I wasn't Jesus Christ.
Dios mio, man, as my Spanish-speaking friends might say.
Thursday Matchup: Jets at Broncos
It takes some warping of reality and splintering of rational thought to watch a team hand off to an ex-linebacker almost as often as it passes the ball, surrender on nearly every third down and score 17 points against an awful opponent, and reinterpret all of this as a sign of its quarterback’s singular greatness…Of course, there’s a chance that the simplest solution is the correct one: the Broncos have gutted out close wins against bad opponents but they will collapse against a strong defense, and option-style gadget plays have a limited N.F.L. shelf life. But then, even Occam’s razor may be no match for Tebow Mania.